Wednesday, November 27, 2024
HomeTennisWeek 14 CFP Projections, NCAAF Greatest Bets

Week 14 CFP Projections, NCAAF Greatest Bets

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As a part of the work I do at Fantasy Life, I run a faculty soccer betting mannequin that predicts weekly spreads and scores, whereas additionally energy rating all 134 FBS groups and projecting the faculty soccer playoff bracket. What you’ll discover beneath is a weekly replace on the perfect of this week’s content material. I hope you discover it useful! 

And talking of useful, in the event you’ve began your vacation purchasing, I humbly current the FantasyLife+ present subscription, which is 50% off till Monday. The fantasy participant/high-level bettor/knowledge nerd in your life will like it! 

This Week’s High 5  

(The complete High 25 seems on the finish of this column) 

  • Ohio State 
  • Texas 
  • Oregon 
  • Georgia 
  • Notre Dame 

Projected School Soccer Playoff Rankings 

The main distinction between my projected bracket and the official one put out by the School Soccer Playoff choice committee is that they aren’t projecting out for energy of schedule and remaining opponents; I’m. So whereas our brackets might look a little bit totally different now, I’m hoping my model shall be what it appears to be like like when the playoffs arrive.  

My High 4 Groups (Receiving Byes) 

  • Ohio State 
  • Texas 
  • Miami 
  • Arizona State 

First Spherical Video games 

No. 5 Oregon vs. No. 12 Boise State 

No. 6 Penn State vs. No. 11 Tennessee  

No. 7 Georgia vs. No. 10 SMU 

No. 8 Notre Dame vs. No. 9 Indiana 

The Subsequent 4 Out: 

Alabama, Ole Miss, South Carolina, Clemson 

My High 5 QB Prospects 

You’ll be able to learn the total breakdown on Fantasy Life, however right here’s a have a look at the place I’ve the highest faculty QBs ranked as Draft season creeps up on us. 

  • Shedeur Sanders | Colorado | 6’1/215  
  • Cameron Ward | Miami (FL) | 6’2/220 
  • Jalen Milroe | Alabama | 6’2/225  
  • Garrett Nussmeier | LSU | 6’2/200 
  • Kurtis Rourke | Indiana | 6’4/231 

Milroe stays uncooked as a thrower, however he’s received a shot at Spherical 1 as a result of his toolset — he’s a ridiculous athlete with an enormous arm. There’s a large band of outcomes right here. Milroe’s inventory may surge if he performs effectively down the stretch. But when his ending to the season will not be emphatic, there’s additionally the potential for the redshirt junior returning to Tuscaloosa for another season. 

Let’s Go Deep: Western Kentucky vs. Jacksonville State — Considered one of My 10 Greatest Bets This Weekend 

Western Kentucky vs. Jacksonville State 

My mannequin says: Jax State -2.6 

My wager: Jax State +2.5  

Western Kentucky has misplaced two-straight, a stunning 12-7 upset loss to Louisiana Tech, and a 38-21 beatdown by Liberty final week. This matchup doesn’t arrange effectively for the Hilltoppers to show issues round this week. 

WKU has a very good cross protection (No. 15 success charge and No. 53 EPA/dropback). However WKU’s run protection stinks (No. 111 success charge and No. 100 yards per rush with sacks omitted). 

That’s a foul recipe towards Jacksonville State’s offense. The Gamecocks have one of many G5’s greatest dashing offenses, and it’s relentless. The Gamecocks are No. 4 in normal downs rush charge and No. 5 EPA/run. 

WKU’s Air Raid will will get its yards towards a mediocre Jacksonville State cross protection, however the Gamecocks are top-25 in turnovers pressured and interception % and really feel like a superb wager to flip the sphere on a WKU offense that throws too many interceptions at the least as soon as. 

There’s a thought that Jacksonville State gained’t be motivated for this sport as a result of they’ve already clinched homefield within the CUSA title sport. 

However Liberty clinches the second berth if it may possibly beat Sam Houston on Friday. If that occurs, it will render this sport utterly meaningless for either side. Past that, WKU received waxed final week in a sport towards Liberty the place it had all of the motivation on this planet to win. 

Lastly, one 12 months in the past, Jacksonville State traveled to New Mexico State within the finale. NMSU was coming off an enormous upset of Auburn, and it had already clinched a rematch with Liberty the next week within the CUSA title sport. It was an all-time unhealthy spot for NMSU – and the Aggies beat Jacksonville State 20-17. 

We expect motivational elements are being mentioned an excessive amount of on this sport – once they may finally don’t have any net-effect on both aspect – whereas in-a-vacuum line worth on Jax State and a highly-advantageous in-game matchup will not be being mentioned sufficient. 

Thor Nystrom’s High 25 School Soccer Rankings 

Try the total high 25 with my faculty soccer energy rankings. 

Rank  Staff  Conf  Proj Wins  Energy Score  SOS Rank 
1  Ohio St.  B1G  11.0  49.0  21 
2  Texas  SEC  10.7  48.8  13 
3  Oregon  B1G  12.0  47.8  41 
4  Georgia  SEC  10.0  47.6  4 
5  Notre Dame  IND  10.6  45.2  53 
6  Alabama  SEC  8.9  45.0  8 
7  Ole Miss  SEC  9.0  44.6  24 
8  Tennessee  SEC  9.8  44.3  47 
9  Miami (FL)  ACC  10.9  43.0  66 
10  Penn St.  B1G  11.0  42.8  36 
11  South Carolina  SEC  8.5  40.0  14 
12  Indiana  B1G  11.0  39.9  64 
13  Clemson  ACC  9.5  39.6  57 
14  Texas A&M  SEC  8.3  39.3  20 
15  SMU  ACC  10.8  38.9  67 
16  Iowa  B1G  7.7  38.3  33 
17  Kansas St.  B12  8.5  38.2  38 
18  USC  B1G  6.4  38.0  11 
19  Florida  SEC  6.8  37.8  3 
20  Louisville  ACC  7.7  37.7  37 
21  LSU  SEC  7.7  37.6  9 
22  Auburn  SEC  5.1  36.9  10 
23  Iowa St.  B12  9.5  36.5  27 
24  Oklahoma  SEC  6.3  36.1  7 
25  Missouri  SEC  8.7  35.9  40 

 

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