I prefer to make up statistics. Why? As a result of it’s enjoyable, largely. There’s a lot baseball evaluation on the web nowadays that with out shaking issues up, it’s exhausting to say one thing actually fascinating. Remoted energy? You’ve seen it 1,000,000 instances. Strikeout fee, and even strikeout fee implied by whiff fee? Boring. xWhatever, one thing with BACON in it? We’ve accomplished that earlier than.
Most of my random gimmick stats don’t actually catch on. However I’ve used two this yr that I believe have some actual analytical curiosity to them, they usually’re not precisely on the FanGraphs leaderboard web page. So I’m going to take care of some Google Sheets with them highlighted, and I’m additionally going to intermittently spotlight one of the best performers.
Keep in mind whomps per whiff? That one is simply enjoyable to say, and notably enjoyable to listen to Vinnie Pasquantino say. Additionally, it looks as if it’s doing one thing proper. Listed here are the highest 10 hitters in baseball by that statistic this yr, minimal 500 pitches seen:
Oh look, one other statistic that tells you Juan Soto is superb. What he’s doing this yr is really ridiculous. He’s completely clobbering the ball and but hardly ever swinging and lacking. He’s as far forward of Ryan O’Hearn in second as O’Hearn is forward of Taylor Ward in tenth. He has extra barrels and 30 fewer whiffs than Shohei Ohtani.
In the meantime, O’Hearn and Tyler Stephenson are fascinating in their very own proper. I highlighted Stephenson final time I checked out whomps per whiff, and he’s continued to hit the ball properly since then. O’Hearn is totally demolishing righties, similar to he at all times does, and the Orioles merely don’t let him face lefties. He solely has eight plate appearances towards southpaws thus far this yr.
The subsequent lower of names on the checklist, the whole lot of which may be seen right here, has some fascinating contrasts, so let’s broaden to the highest 20:
Whomps Per Whiff Leaders
Participant | Whomps | Whiffs | Whomps Per Whiff | Pitches Seen |
---|---|---|---|---|
Juan Soto | 34 | 85 | 0.400 | 1030 |
Ryan O’Hearn | 13 | 39 | 0.333 | 510 |
Tyler Stephenson | 14 | 44 | 0.318 | 519 |
Kyle Tucker | 23 | 76 | 0.303 | 950 |
Aaron Decide | 40 | 152 | 0.263 | 1009 |
Mike Trout | 14 | 50 | 0.280 | 574 |
Shohei Ohtani | 32 | 115 | 0.278 | 936 |
Corey Seager | 24 | 88 | 0.273 | 725 |
Vinnie Pasquantino | 16 | 59 | 0.271 | 871 |
Taylor Ward | 22 | 82 | 0.268 | 850 |
Yordan Alvarez | 21 | 80 | 0.263 | 840 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 29 | 112 | 0.259 | 935 |
Alex Verdugo | 11 | 43 | 0.256 | 817 |
Jung Hoo Lee | 6 | 24 | 0.250 | 569 |
Pete Alonso | 22 | 89 | 0.247 | 878 |
Lars Nootbaar | 10 | 41 | 0.244 | 650 |
Will Smith | 17 | 70 | 0.243 | 772 |
Rhys Hoskins | 16 | 66 | 0.242 | 701 |
Mookie Betts | 12 | 50 | 0.240 | 1013 |
Eloy Jiménez | 14 | 59 | 0.237 | 503 |
There are two forms of hitters that get on right here: high-contact varieties with sneaky energy and mashers with a stable eye. It’s instructive to see Lars Nootbaar subsequent to Pete Alonso regardless of vastly differing approaches. The Nootbaar method – excessive persistence, to the purpose of passivity – can work for those who’re scalding the ball. However a number of the hitters working towards that method simply don’t do sufficient harm to make it work. Cavan Biggio has the same plan – and a .067 whomps per whiff, 1 / 4 the speed of Nootbaar. Edouard Julien and Evan Carter match into this group as properly. Nootbaar has one of the best wRC+ of the bunch, and he has that regardless of massively underperforming his xStats. That’s as a result of he’s simply extra succesful than his friends – or not less than extra profitable than them this yr – in the case of tattooing the pitches he deigns to swing at.
Alonso is kind of the other. His recreation is energy over selectivity, and even in a down yr, he’s within the high 20 for ISO and tied for eleventh league-wide in homers. He’s a power-first hitter, in different phrases, and limiting the whiffs is what makes that work for him. Evaluate that to equally power-first hitters like Adolis García and Cal Raleigh. García has whomped (barreled) as many balls as Alonso, however he’s swung and missed 47 extra instances. Raleigh is in the identical boat; he’s nonetheless doing harm when he connects, however he’s simply developing empty too usually.
The underside finish of the checklist has a number of terrifying names for Cardinals followers: Masyn Winn and Nolan Arenado. Winn merely isn’t an influence hitter, and that’s tremendous; he’s going to go so far as his protection and BABIP carry him. Seeing his relative lack of energy on the huge league stage shouldn’t be stunning; he by no means hit for a lot within the minors both. Arenado, then again, used to place up common energy numbers with out a lot swing-and-miss in his recreation. He’s nonetheless not hanging out a lot, however he simply isn’t hitting the ball exhausting sufficient to make issues work proper now. Excellent news on this entrance, although; each Winn and Arenado smashed extra-base hits final night time, in order that they’ll creep a bit increased on the checklist when that information hits.
There are a raft of Pirates in the direction of the underside of the checklist, which helps clarify why their offense feels so misplaced at instances. Anthony Volpe and Luis Arraez are additionally in the direction of the underside of the checklist, they usually’re nice reminders that this statistic can’t seize each good hitter. A few of them merely aren’t attempting to max out on the factor it measures. However for those who’re questioning how your favourite hitter is doing on the fundamental job of hitting – hit ‘em exhausting, however don’t miss – this leaderboard is a good first cross.
The opposite statistic I’m updating as we speak isn’t really mine, even in spite of everything that opening-paragraph grandstanding about new stats. However I can’t discover its origin regardless of some motivated Googling, so I’ll simply name it a FanGraphs neighborhood invention. That statistic? Kimbrels, or appearances with a detrimental FIP.
As a refresher, FIP estimates ERA with a easy system, and for those who’re hanging out two-plus batters an inning with out strolling anybody or giving up a homer, it spits out a detrimental quantity. It’s only a linear system, so there’s no particular “that means” to zero, but it surely’s enjoyable. A Kimbrel is shorthand for a fully dominant reduction outing. They’re virtually at all times video games the place the pitcher overwhelmed opposing hitters, and the pitchers who’re one of the best at racking them up are invariably strikeout artists, usually with good command in addition.
Who’s one of the best at it? Mason Miller, clearly:
In case you’ve been following Miller’s season, it will hardly come as a shock. He’s steamrolling everybody in his path. He has fewer appearances than everybody round him – the A’s don’t want their nearer all that usually – however he’s been downright overpowering when he will get a shot.
There are many nice closers within the high 10 right here. Emmanuel Clase and Ryan Helsley are off to their customary wonderful begins. Josh Hader checks in at eleventh, and he’s been doing it for a very long time. The literal Craig Kimbrel is on the checklist regardless of a bumpy season thus far. When he’s on, he’s nonetheless untouchable, however his velocity and command are fading with time.
Extra fascinating, to me not less than, are the nice setup males. I used to be already enthralled by Fernando Cruz, however I like seeing his dominance expressed this fashion. Matt Strahm has been so good that I anticipate him to start out getting save alternatives. Cade Smith is perhaps the subsequent nice Cleveland reliever. Austin Adams and Ryan Walker are placing up wonderful seasons as specialists. And whereas Aroldis Chapman is having a fully abysmal season, he can nonetheless make the opposing lineup look silly if he can discover the strike zone (he normally can’t).
Need to take a look at some extra choices? Right here’s the total checklist. And verify again each week or so, as a result of I’m going to maintain updating these two leaderboards all year long. I’m undecided whether or not both is predictive, however I’m fairly certain they’re each enjoyable, and that’s adequate for me to maintain doing the background calculations to maintain them going.
All information on this article is thru video games performed Monday, Might 27.