Rory Delargy’s New 12 months’s Day ITV Racing ideas
13:30 Cheltenham – Broadway Boy
13:45 Musselburgh – Candy Fantasy
14:05 Cheltenham – Springwell Bay
14:20 Musselburgh – Indian Louis (each-way)
14:40 Cheltenham – Strackan
15:15 Cheltenham – Langer Dan
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.
Chantry Home appears to have misplaced his method. He was well-beaten over hurdles final time and is now switching to chases for the primary time shortly. Cloudy Glen is finest working recent, having received a veterans chase from Good Boy Bobby at Haydock, however I might not anticipate him to be in the identical kind second day trip.
Equally, Our Energy ran a cracker on his return at Cheltenham, however Sam Thomas will get his horses spot-on the primary time, and I don’t assume he’ll enhance. Bowtogreatness pulled up within the Rehearsal at Newcastle final day trip, and he’s most likely at his finest on higher floor,
That makes BROADWAY BOY essentially the most interesting by a good method. He lays it on the road from the entrance and has run two good races this season. He most likely wanted one over course and distance on this return, albeit on the outdated course.
He was overwhelmed by 12 lengths that day and stepped up when ending a wonderful second to Kandoo Child within the Coral Gold Cup at Newbury.
He additionally has lots of good kind round Cheltenham and likes to dominate races. Though he has 12-stone on his again right here, he has greater than sufficient capacity to beat the remainder of this subject, particularly as there are query marks in a single kind or one other in opposition to most of them.
I like SWEET FANTASY, who is beneficial even when she was a tad out of her depth at Wetherby on her return in that Listed Mares hurdle on Charlie Corridor day. She caught the attention on the December Cheltenham assembly, although.
That was a handicap hurdle run at a reasonable tempo the place they sprinted from the house flip, and you possibly can’ve thrown a blanket over a lot of the subject.
Those that had been held up had been at a drawback, and Candy Fantasy was held up final of all that day to get her to settle with a hood. She settled effectively however was coming from too far again. She didn’t end strongly up the hill both, however Musselburgh is sharper, and I don’t assume she’ll be held off the tempo as a lot right here.
The shape has additionally labored out to some extent, as Royal Margaux, whom Ruby and I had been with that day, has run effectively to be positioned since. With jockey Alex Chadwick claiming 5lbs off her, she appears well-handicapped on this race.
I used to be eager on Gemirande at Cheltenham final time and backed him on the morning when he drifted. He bought the run of the race on the bottom he likes, however he has upset a few times on deep floor. It’s mushy now, with numerous rain anticipated throughout the UK, in order that’ll rely in opposition to him for me.
An 8lb rise within the weights can also be loads, contemplating he received that day as a result of he bought an outstanding journey from Charlie Deutsch, not as a result of he was well-handicapped. He’s proper again up within the weights after a barely disappointing marketing campaign final 12 months, which makes him beatable right here.
Marble Sands is fascinating sufficient, too, having run effectively within the Rehearsal final time, however SPRINGWELL BAY is pretty handicapped based mostly on what he’s carried out. He ran effectively in a novice chase right here when he was second to Jango Baie, giving chunks of weight away, having received a Listed novice chase on debut at Chepstow.
He has loads of kind round Cheltenham, together with on unhealthy floor, so he appears well-treated and is open to extra enchancment as a chaser. Given he’s been a sound jumper to this point and received’t thoughts if the bottom will get mushy. He’s the one for me.
I’m going for an outsider on the backside of the weights. INDIAN LOUIS is 8lbs incorrect, which doesn’t give him lots of an opportunity, however he has improved of late, and he’s a greater horse when he’s allowed to bowl alongside in entrance.
Hopefully, he can do this right here. Half Shot will wish to go ahead, too, however I’m hoping Indian Louis could make the working as a result of he has been a greater horse over fences when doing that.
He ran very effectively at Carlisle when he had Excessive Moon behind him. He’s weighted to reverse that kind, however I feel Indian Louis may do higher once more.
That was a stronger race than it regarded on paper, so though he may look to have his work minimize out for him off an 11lb larger mark, I wouldn’t be shocked to see him run above himself and go effectively right here.
I’ve little confidence to find worth with him because the second favorite available in the market, however I’ll take a minor probability on STRACKAN over One Large Bang right here.
My choice has a bit to seek out within the rankings, and he’s stepping up in school, having received at Bangor. That was a likeable efficiency and suggests the penny is dropping for him. He ran effectively to be second in his reappearance at Worcester and has received each begins since.
He’s gone up in weights and sophistication however is able to higher, whereas most of this subject within reason uncovered.
The horse to be with is LANGER DAN, and by a great distance as effectively. Nobody desires to again him this time of 12 months or in a race like this as a result of they assume he’s being handicapped for the Cheltenham Competition, however he’s clearly not for my part – you don’t attempt to get a mark by working the horse in Grade 1 and a couple of hurdles.
He began his season within the long-distance hurdle at Newbury and was under kind, however he hasn’t disgraced the present value of round 7/2. I feel he represents worth.
It’s not like he disappeared after successful the handicap at Cheltenham. He went and competed in Grade 1 and a couple of firm and was unfortunate to not win at Aintree. He then ran a cracker to be second at Sandown on the season’s closing day in a Graded hurdle.
Dan Skelton has mentioned he’s a spring horse, so if you happen to take that on board, you’ll assume this isn’t the time to be concerned with him, however, working in a Grade 2 with Harry Skelton saddling him, he’s most likely in affordable kind. I’m not mad to have a wager, however, on the costs, that’s the place it’s important to go.
Rory Delargy’s ITV Racing ideas
13:30 Cheltenham – Broadway Boy
13:45 Musselburgh – Candy Fantasy
14:05 Cheltenham – Springwell Bay
14:20 Musselburgh – Indian Louis (each-way)
14:40 Cheltenham – Strackan
15:15 Cheltenham – Langer Dan
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct on the time of publishing however topic to alter.
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