Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Suggestions
14:10 Goodwood – Darkness
14:20 Punchestown – Railway Hurricane
15:42 Perth – Duffle Coat
15:.55 Goodwood – Sea Simply In Time
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.
Racingbreaks Ryder was the actual eye-catcher final outing right here. After initially getting tapped for toe because the race hotted up three furlongs out he stayed on actually strongly underneath William Buick to complete a by no means nearer 4 and a half lengths fourth behind Wild Tiger. Nonetheless, there was a little bit of ease within the floor that day, and with a dry forecast over the weekend, it wouldn’t shock me if Charlie Hills had been to take him out if the phrase ‘agency’ seems within the going description.
So with the bottom set to be on the quick facet of fine, I’m actually eager on the prospect of David O’Meara’s cost, DARKNESS, so long as Daniel Tudhope doesn’t experience him too prominently. It didn’t appear to go well with him final outing at Epsom and in the event you have a look at his career-best runs within the final two campaigns he has at all times produced the products when getting a lead.
Sure, he could be fairly headstrong within the early phases of a contest, however with two or three of his rivals set to be within the van from the beginning I’m hoping that Danny can get him coated up and get into a pleasant rhythm early on. From a handicapping perspective, he’s properly weighted as properly having final received off a mark of 91 and now right down to 85.
I believed that this 2m 4f handicap chase was nearly essentially the most tough race to dissect, however subsequently qualifies properly for this ‘worth’ column. High weight Mars Harper got here underneath severe consideration having been tried in fairly esteemed firm previously six months and with Carl Millar taking an enormous 7lbs off his again the bay gelding seems to be very properly weighted off a score of 131 if match to do himself justice.
The eight-year-old might properly be value a saver right here, whereas course and distance winner Hereditary Rule is fascinating having plummeted down the handicap, however his leaping on his final two begins right here has been nothing in need of appalling so the nod goes to the Gavin Cromwell’s cost, RAILYWAY HURRICANE.
A strike report of just one win from 28 begins over fences hardly conjures up confidence, however he has been positioned on a minimum of 11 events and at last confirmed a bit extra zest on his return from an 111-day break when fifth of 12 at Kilbeggan final outing.
Set to race off a 5lbs decrease mark right here, a repeat of his second behind the helpful Idalko Bihoue at Cheltenham within the autumn can be readily ok to see him flip over this lot for his in-form and astute handler.
This characteristic Perth Gold Cup Handicap Chase has a beautiful betting form to it if all eight acceptors stand their floor. In 2023, Karl Phillipe took on the easiest handicap chasers within the land ending seventh to Il Ridoto in a Grade Three handicap chase at Cheltenham over 2m 4f, following it up with an identical putting behind Corach Rambler within the Ultima Handicap Chase on the Competition the place he was by no means going to get house on the prevailing gentle floor.
These two runs got here off marks within the low 140’s, however he wanted to go right down to 132 on good floor to return to successful kind final outing underneath now-regular rider Jack Hogan. That regarded like a reasonable race in comparison with this one, however underneath his superb situations and with a 5lbs penalty to take care of he seems to be an apparent participant.
With prime weight Dangle in There arguably higher over 2m 4f, the worth is with the Gordon Elliot runner, DUFFLE COAT, who had been knocking on the door previous to a clear-cut success at Ballinrobe final outing.
Being 12lbs greater on these shores is a slight concern, however now that he has bought his leaping collectively the one method is up and his stamina will probably be an enormous asset in opposition to a number of uncertain stayers.
There are some fantastically bred and thrilling fillies set to line up on this Listed race and it might be an occasion value following by way of the second half of the season. Beeley will certainly get some black sort when she learns to settle, whereas the Dubawi filly, Nakheel nonetheless regarded inexperienced when successful her maiden at Ascot on Might tenth and there ought to be hundreds extra to come back from her as her stamina comes extra into play.
Nonetheless, I used to be at Newmarket when the SEA JUST IN TIME made her profession debut and I couldn’t have been extra impressed together with her, each within the parade ring and within the race correct.
Held up in rear off a good tempo, however no extra, she was allowed to assemble her stride by Tom Marquand going into the dip, and little by little he set free an increasing number of rein till lengthening her stride and pulling properly clear up the ultimate climb.
As she got here again in she was noticeably blowing fairly laborious so it’s truthful to say that the run ought to have introduced her ahead considerably. I’ve truly gone out on a limb and backed her at an enormous value for the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe in October (she can also be entered within the Ribblesdale Stakes at Royal Ascot and Irish Oaks), and she or he might make her mark on the very highest desk in time. An thrilling prospect.
Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Suggestions
14:10 Goodwood – Darkness
14:20 Punchestown – Railway Hurricane
15:42 Perth – Duffle Coat
15:.55 Goodwood – Sea Simply In Time
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.
READ MORE
The most recent racing odds are on PaddyPower.com now
THE PADDY POWER GUIDE TO SAFER GAMBLING – EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW
