Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Horse Racing ideas
13:40 Leopardstown – Karniquet (each-way)
14:10 Leopardstown – El Fabiolo
14:25 Musselburgh – Bretney
14:45 Leopardstown – Riaan (each-way)
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to vary.
All eyes will probably be on Kopek Des Bourdes following his win over the course and distance on the Christmas assembly. That afternoon, he was significantly slower than the opposite spectacular novice winner, Workahead.
Nonetheless, if you wish to be variety there have been mitigating circumstances as he appeared very inexperienced out in entrance and was by no means naturally fluent at his obstacles. Add to that the shape has been properly franked by the second dwelling Kawaboomga, and he he seems to be certain to enhance massively for the expertise, and he’s most likely the correct favorite.
Nonetheless, I’m very glad to let him go and win at round even-money, and the choice, and secure mate, KARNIQUET may very properly hit the body at large odds, giving us a a lot larger revenue.
Considered one of at least six Willie Mullins’ runners, the each-way choice was fortunate to outlive a completely terrible mistake on the second flight within the Grade One Paddy Energy Future Champions Novice Hurdle earlier than fading from the second final when given a massively straightforward time by Paddy within the closing levels.
It’s value noting that he was despatched off at simply 11/2 that day and should you forgive him that run and poor spherical of leaping he nonetheless stays with loads of potential based mostly on his maiden win at Tramore. That success has labored out splendidly properly with the second and third having touchdown their maidens since.
Exterior of group Mullins, Bleu De Vassy may hit the body and presumably extra if the market chief fails to take one other step ahead.
Over fences on the Dublin observe, Gaelic Warrior’s kind figures learn U2, second to Solness on his return, and I’d not be in any rush to again him right here at a shade of odds-on. Barry Connell retains on harking on about Marine Nationale, however he’s quickly operating out of excuses, and there could be little doubt that the 2023 Supreme Novice Hurdle hero is method higher on a sound floor, and I’d slightly again him within the Champion Chase at Cheltenham on good floor than a testing floor right here.
Quilixios actually gained’t thoughts the bottom, however even with doubts concerning the entrance few available in the market, is he adequate?
Which leaves me to facet with EL FABIOLO, a winner at this assembly within the final two years, this race 12 months in the past, and the Arkle earlier than that. He has a mighty file when recent and is six from eight over fences.
The bay gelding will not be probably the most pure jumper within the area, however these are his circumstances and though I’m leaping the gun so far as his readiness is worried on his first run since April, it is going to be very fascinating to learn the pre-race quotes from his esteemed coach which can properly make or break a giant each-way play from me, he may nonetheless be adequate.
The bottom might solely be good to mushy on the Edinburgh observe, however with a number of pure entrance runners and pressers on this area of 15, this may nonetheless be a really deep take a look at of stamina over the four-mile journey.
Prime weight King Turgeon has made nice strides this season, and he was solely overwhelmed by the bottomless stamina of Collectors Merchandise within the Somerset Nationwide at Wincanton. Nonetheless, he has endured some fairly powerful races this season and can do properly to offer weight away throughout in yet one more slugfest and on his fifth begin of the season since late October.
Manofthepeople is definitely higher than his pulled-up effort at Cheltenham in November and will go properly at a double-figure worth and might be value a saver, however the nod goes to the Henry Daly-trained runner, BRETNEY, who has fairly clearly been aimed toward this race following a transparent lower win within the Borders Nationwide Handicap Chase at Kelso.
Up an additional seven kilos for that win in a greater race, if the 10-year-old can keep in contact with the sector on this barely faster floor on the primary circuit then his stamina seems to be certain to come back into play down the house stretch.
That is my type of handicap chase with further locations up for grabs from Paddy Energy and a massively opposable favorite in high weight James Du Berlais. There’s actually nothing mistaken together with his mark of 152, however I believe that he’s mushy in a end. More likely to be operating throughout his rivals after the second final, I fancy up the powerful ultimate climb that he’ll succumb to a minimum of two featherweights down the house stretch.
In opposition to Willie Mullins’ cost, I took a really lengthy whereas to get my shortlist down to a few. Shantreusse is undoubtedly properly weighted on his greatest kind, and if he can put in a clear spherical of leaping, which isn’t at all times the case, then Rachael’s mount has an excellent probability of hitting the body on the very least at double-figure odds.
Stablemate Life In The Park hasn’t proven a lot this season, however two runs over three miles is a visit past his greatest, and he may run properly and I could properly mix the 2 De Bromhead runners in a hopeful mixture forecast/tricast with the RIAAN whose leaping is simply that little bit extra reliable.
Second on this race final yr off a mark of 132, his three runs since, down the sector within the Plate at Cheltenham after which out with the washing within the Troytown and a invaluable handicap once more at Navan final day out doesn’t encourage a lot. Nonetheless, he travelled fairly properly by that race final day out, and I really feel that common pilot Danny Gilligan eased him down loads early sufficient with perhaps a view to this race. Now, he’s solely a pound above final yr’s ranking, and he seems to be too huge to disregard right here.
Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Horse Racing ideas
13:40 Leopardstown – Karniquet (each-way)
14:10 Leopardstown – El Fabiolo
14:25 Musselburgh – Bretney
14:45 Leopardstown – Riaan (each-way)
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct on the time of publishing however topic to vary.
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