Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Horse Racing ideas
12.40 Southwell – Gincident
12.53 Kelso – Fingals Hill
13.55 Leopardstown – Sequestered
15.05 Leopardstown – Consolation Zone
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to vary.
A cracking class 4 occasion over a mile, there are a number of actually properly handicapped entries on this area of 10 and there have been indicators from a couple of of them that there flip is across the nook following some promise final day out. A winner off 80 round about this time final 12 months on the turf, Repertoire is attention-grabbing, whereas Siam Fox positively caught the attention when coming from a way again to complete a by no means nearer fifth behind Really feel The Want over the course and distance final day out and is price keeping track of available in the market place.
However it’s the Richard Fahey-charge Gincident that appears the worth name right here. His final three runs right here have resulted in kind figures of 525. The final of these might be upgraded as he was drawn out within the automobile park in stall 11, whereas a repeat of the opposite two runs would in all probability be ok to win this occasion.
The important thing to his probability is reliant upon stress-free on this occasion (too eager final day out) so Jack Garritty might want to bury him within the pack earlier than making his problem turning for dwelling. Final a winner off a mark of 82, positioned at that stage as nicely, I merely can not let him go unbacked right here off simply 77.
This seems a extremely aggressive handicap hurdle for the extent, class three 0-125, and you may make a extremely stable case for a number of of the 12 runners. I’m certain that Bertie B will likely be concerned right here on the again of his easy win at Plumpton the place he jumped with nice aplomb and eased clear after the flip from dwelling from earlier than two out.
That is harder however I believe the additional yardage will likely be a plus. Down the underside of the weights, Guernesey drops beneath a 3 determine mark within the handicap for the primary time. I’ve but to see younger Joshua Thompson experience in public however his 7lbs declare could possibly be large.
I Am Max and course and distance winner Younger Jack are additionally worthy of respect, however ultimately I believed that Peter Atkinson’s cost Fingals Hill was the large worth play right here. The eight-year-old badly wanted the run on his seasonal debut in a category two he was by no means going to win, however confirmed final day out at Wetherby that this was in all probability going to be his peak efficiency to this point.
All the time in contact with the leaders in that two and a half mile occasion, the tip was then outpaced earlier than the third final earlier than staying on on the one paced to complete a 9 size third. Dropped 4lbs for these two runs and upped in journey, this seems by far his greatest probability of a return to profitable kind since profitable a weakish wanting class two for the grade at Carlisle simply over a 12 months in the past off a 3lbs increased score.
About eight months in the past on the Dublin monitor, PJG’s cost was an enormous eye catcher when fizzing dwelling within the three mile handicap hurdle when a by no means nearer 14 lengths off Maxxum off a score of 122. Since then his attentions have been turned to chasing and he’s zero from three a return that hardly fills the thoughts with confidence on this massive area staying occasion.
Nevertheless, his final of 4 behind Croke Park in a inexperienced persons chase at Fairyhouse was method higher than his ending place suggests. All the time within the first two that day, Sequestered had each probability on the second final, however he jumped out to his left after which emptied out.
A mark of 123 on his handicap debut seems very attention-grabbing and I believe he will likely be given a way more affected person experience on this a lot greater area by Jack Gilligan. Of his rivals, high weight Dunboyne is 11lbs decrease than when a detailed up fourth within the 2023 Troytown Chase, whereas Sam Magee was massively spectacular when upped in journey to 2m5f at Fairyhouse. He has one other massive hike within the weights to cope with right here, however stepping again as much as three miles once more seems certain result in one other step ahead.
The aforementioned Maxxum runs off high weight right here and a mark of 144 on this Listed handicap hurdle and easily can’t be written out of the equation right here at his favorite course after being given two close to unattainable challenges in graded races at first of this season. Three miles might swimsuit him higher, however he may nicely be price a small each-way saver at an enormous worth right here, however finally a number of of his rivals getting bundles of weight could show that bit too sturdy right here.
The very flippantly raced Mr Percy takes a giant hike in distance and stays a piece in progress. He’s no certainty to see out the 2 and a half miles on breeding, however the type of his work on his final two begins strongly suggests in any other case.
However the one for me with the drying floor may nicely be Consolation Zone, who gained a invaluable flat handicap at Naas off 86. However the important thing piece of kind that flags his probability right here was a detailed up third behind The Wallpark on the Galway Pageant, overwhelmed simply two lengths over an prolonged two and three quarter miles. This drop in journey is sort of definitely his optimum set-up and he’s set to run off a 2lbs increased mark right here.
Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Horse Racing ideas
12.40 Southwell – Gincident
12.53 Kelso – Fingals Hill
13.55 Leopardstown – Sequestered
15.05 Leopardstown – Consolation Zone
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct on the time of publishing however topic to vary.
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