Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Ideas
2.42 Listowel – Polar Bear & Coumshingaun
3.25 Nottingham – Mereside Angel
4.40 Hamilton – Geremia
5.10 Hamilton – Kings Lynn
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.
Of the 4 races I’ve picked for the ‘Worth Performs’ this week, I believed that this provided the perfect likelihood of a extremely large outsider flying by the flames and touchdown an enormous money booty for us. Mercurial galloped by the hock deep floor on the Curragh final day out and being on the high of his kind is revered, however the drying floor shouldn’t be good for this son of Prince of Lir.
Coumshingaun is a large participant following his eye catching run at Naas behind Dance Night time final day out and I could properly have a saver on this mare and she or he shall be my reserve selection behind the Jessica Harrington cost Polar Bear. He ran in some fairly honest maidens as a juvenile, however it took till his ninth begin in a busy first season to get off the mark. One other heavy marketing campaign adopted final 12 months with a win off 82 and a spot off 85.
This time period he has completed behind the aforementioned Mercurial, however that is extra his floor sort and the intermediate journey of six and a half furlong additionally appears to be like good after simply backing out within the closing 150 yards when a very reasonable fourth of 15 behind Brains at Roscommon.
A low grade 5f expend that has so many gamers on not so latest kind that it took me some time to kind the wheat from the chaff. At first look, I actually favored the claims of massive outsider Chief of Navy following a protracted spell out in Dubai the place he ran in some cracking races. Nevertheless, following his comeback run right here at Chelmsford I simply felt that he most likely wanted at the very least another run to acclimatise again on these shores. Nevertheless, look ahead to any important market strikes through the day and earlier than the race because the steady have made a cracking begin to the season.
J R Cavagin and Excessive Opinion have been additionally on my brief listing for very completely different causes, however the perfect different with the drying floor massively in his favour needs to be the Barron clan’s runner Mereside Angel. The entire gray gelding’s greatest runs have come when he has had a extremely sturdy tempo to run at and that set-up merely didn’t exist on his first two runs this season at Ripon after which in a smaller discipline on quick floor at Carlisle. Sure, he acts on all floor, however a nicer floor fits higher for him than the one encountered on the Cumbrian monitor. There’s each likelihood that Ben Sanderson can file him away in midfield after which mow down this discipline off a profession low mark of simply 62.
This appears to be like to be a center distance handicap that has loads of power in depth at this degree and a bucket load of tempo up high as properly. 4 of the 13 runners take one another on once more following Geremia’s late rally to beat Capital Rally (2nd), Masai Mara (4th) and Faylaq (fifth) and I can see an identical consequence right here with the primary named together with Too Pleasant, Easy Star and Hope You Can Run all prone to be on the sharp finish from flag fall.
Of these entries, the final named is essentially the most fascinating as he has at all times promised to be suited by this step again up in journey and if simply staying off the new tempo racing as a presser he may readily get first run on the choice. Nevertheless, the admirably versatile choose nonetheless stays on a successful mark following that success off 80 (simply 4lbs increased right here). I admit it’s form of a boring choice to many tipping a final day out winner, however this admirable six-year-old has most every part in his favour and might improve his already excellent 5101 document.
Bergerac is difficult to withstand right here, however is a sprinter you can go over a cliff with and nonetheless not see any returns till approach deeper into the season. Again to again wins at Southwell and Newcastle final 12 months off 85 and 90 makes him a attainable participant right here off 91, however this appears to be like a extremely good class two occasion and there are different locations to search for the worth each-way play.
Aberama Gold has additionally reached a workable mark, whereas American Affair continues to stand up the category ladder following a transparent minimize success off 70 in a category 4 occasion. A 10lbs hike within the weights clearly makes it harder for this progressive four-year-old having solely his twelfth profession begin however he travelled so easily by his final race that it’s not out of the query.
However in the long run I made a decision to facet with Andrew Balding’s cost Kings Lynn. His final two runs at Goodwood and Newcastle counsel {that a} drop from 107 to 94 over the previous 12 months means it’s lastly the time to twist quite than stick to him. You possibly can argue {that a} flat 6f works greatest for this elegant seven-year-old, however the Glasgow monitor with its closing climb greater than makes up for that set-up. I fancy the son of Cable Bay to lastly land his fifth profession win and his first since approach again on Might 2022.
Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Ideas
2.42 Listowel – Polar Bear & Coumshingaun
3.25 Nottingham – Mereside Angel
4.40 Hamilton – Geremia
5.10 Hamilton – Kings Lynn
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.
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