Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Suggestions
14:20 Southwell – Streak Lightning (Every-Manner)
16:03 Tramore – Gateau De Miel
16:15 Pontefract – The Cookstown Cafu (Every-Manner)
17:15 Pontefract – Tenerife Sunshine
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.
A category six handicap of 13 runners, none of which gained final day out and solely three have gained all season, will for a lot of of you hardly be one of the best medium to have a guess on, however there may be an upside as such a set-up matches superbly the ethos of this ‘worth’ column. As there are a minimum of six or seven each-way performs at double determine costs we might run with.
Tremendous Hit stays comparatively unexposed to his rivals and ran a good race over the course and distance three outings again and can absolutely play a component right here if younger Kyle McHugh can settle him a bit bit higher; there may be definitely nothing incorrect along with his handicap ranking. Thanks Dad, Petra Celera and the veteran Airshow even have claims of kinds, however in the long run I made a decision to select Ruth Carr educated runner STREAK LIGHTNING.
Simply as irritating as the vast majority of his rivals, this seven-year-old has a greater strike fee than most (six wins from 26 and positioned on six events) and has proven glimpses this season that the hearth nonetheless burns shiny. A ranking 8lbs beneath his final profitable mark additionally helps though he’s the type to wish a lot to go his manner by a contest.
I used to be fortunate sufficient to go the County Waterford monitor a couple of years in the past and like many programs elsewhere you solely actually get the topography of it once you see it within the ‘flesh’. For instance Hexham is difficult to climb on foot on the rise to the profitable publish, which you don’t see on TV, whereas comparable remarks apply to the curler coaster journey of Hamilton Park and even Brighton which is acutely towards the grain from simply over two furlongs out.
Tramore is vastly downhill from the top of the again straight and though the run dwelling is brief, it’s stiff and a number of other races this week on the monitor have modified vastly inside the ultimate two furlongs. So, a course winner is a bonus right here and Pure Breeze and Smitty Bacall fill that class however not over this journey. A mark of 99 nonetheless provides the in kind Tullyveery Lad an opportunity, with the competent Paddy Hanlon on board, and he might simply be value a saver whereas True Religion would have a declare based mostly on his inexperienced persons chase win, however that was a while in the past which leads me within the path of what seems like Henry de Bromhead’s second string GATEAU DE MIEL behind Garde La Peche.
A winner of a inexperienced persons chase at Fairyhouse on the again finish of 2022, he’s since been positioned off 118 and was subsequently given some robust duties behind the likes of Dersertmore Home and Mars Harper. A full 8lbs decrease than for these two runs, that is his best activity so far, and any assist available in the market can be very attention-grabbing.
The irritating Zozimus lastly received again on the profitable path (second win in his forty second try) when ridden a lot nearer to the tempo final day out over course and distance and profitable comfortably. Already effectively weighted for that run a 4lbs penalty is neither right here nor there on this race and if he’s in the identical kind then clearly an enormous run will be anticipated with the state of affairs of giving weight to lesser horses extra his area.
However, absolutely the proportion name is to go towards the highest weight and play with one of many different two course and distance winners. Kevin Ryan’s cost THE COOKSTOWN CAFU has not troubled the choose since profitable right here in Could ‘23 in a category 4 off a ranking of 79, and certainly took 9 additional runs earlier than he was even positioned once more off 74 at Carlisle two begins again.
His newest run at York was a minimum of on a par along with his Cumbrian enterprise, as he ran Craven to a few lengths in a contest with a deal extra energy in depth. Set to run off 73 right here, in his first run in a category 5 occasion for 2 years and appears the each-way different to the highest weight and Naval Academy.
The Grand Visir has seemed prepared for retirement for the previous 18 months having seemed sluggish and never in love with the sport of late, albeit he’s been additionally set some stiff duties. Then out of the blue the veteran confirmed much more sparkle final day out, staying on properly behind the equally effectively handicapped Ranch Hand, within the Shergar Cup final week. I do know connections would dearly like to exit with a victory with him and solely a pound increased right here than eight days in the past makes him an apparent participant.
Though there aren’t any entrance runners on this subject of seven, six of the entries prefer to race prominently and/or pull arduous, so I think there gained’t be a scarcity of tempo and that would go well with the Charlie Johnston cost TENERIFE SUNSHINE who can settle in these races. He nonetheless appeared to be going properly on the three furlong pole within the two and a half mile Goodwood Stakes earlier than receiving a hefty bump which ended his probabilities. Solely a pound above his final profitable mark and with floor and a shorter journey in his favour he will get the nod over the outdated boy and the brand new child on the block, Godsend. The final named is a typical Sir Mark Prescott bloomer, he’s gained 4 of his final 5 begins starting from a gap mark of 58 to his present ranking of 79. This seems his hardest activity so far towards some hardy outdated sprinters, and though he’s the almost certainly winner, his worth will mirror that.
Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Suggestions
14:20 Southwell – Streak Lightning (Every-Manner)
16:03 Tramore – Gateau De Miel
16:15 Pontefract – The Cookstown Cafu (Every-Manner)
17:15 Pontefract – Tenerife Sunshine
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.
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