Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Ideas
13:50 Limerick – Blanc De Noir
15:15 Chelmsford – Pinafore
16:10 Ayr – Regheeb
16:35 Market Rasen – Itso Fury
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.
Unstable Analyst gained a Listed race at Doncaster on the Lincoln assembly of 2022, (he was my solely wager that day and I fled earlier than the large race) however from then until now it has been a mighty slippery slope for the seven-year-old. Rated 105 after that occasion, he has now plummeted to a score of 77 which is a winnable mark if he will get some give within the floor.
Nonetheless, the entry make-up of this race means he’s quite a bit worse off with a few of his rivals than he can be in a handicap, so he’s reluctantly handed over till operating in such a race. So the vote goes to BLANC DE NOIR who has all the time seemed like he wanted a take a look at over seven furlongs having run nearly all of the time over six.
His most up-to-date run over this journey on the Curragh appeared to again up that time and there was no method he can be aggressive again down in journey to the minimal distance at Navan final day out. Set to be hidden away in midfield by the dependable Ben Coen, I count on this vastly constant son of Showcasing to complete with some aplomb and add to his single win at his 14th profession try earlier than taking in a extra precious occasion at the next stage.
This function race on the Essex card has a number of runners rated in three figures and above, however most have little or no expertise on the sand, Stenton Glider (rated 104) being chief amongst them. Cloud Cowl is the primary all-weather specialist having gained a category 4 handicap simply off a score of 80 earlier than touchdown a career-best at Newcastle final day out off 89.
This fairly clearly requires an extra step ahead however her means to deal with this floor is of paramount significance. In distinction, PINAFORE is one from one away from turf however that solely got here in a seven-furlong novice at Kempton Park as a two-year-old. Since then the daughter of Darkish Angel has gained off a score of 82, 84 and successful off 93. The final day out took her type to a model new excessive when second in a Listed contest over this journey at Musselburgh.
Held up off a good tempo on that event, she was nonetheless a way out the again on the quarter-mile pole and got here house properly to complete two lengths off Jabaara who was higher positioned and confirmed a greater flip of foot. The winner has cemented the shape properly with a easy success in an identical race at Carlisle on the again finish of June.
I might not be shocked if Benacre have been to set off out in entrance and keep there for this class three handicap which doesn’t have an terrible lot of energy in depth. His handicap mark definitely gained’t cease him and will probably be extra of a matter of Joe Fanning getting the fractions spot on and making this a relative take a look at of stamina as he stays additional, however there isn’t any higher man for the job from the sharp finish.
However he might merely give a successful result in REGHEEB who at the beginning of his profession was regarded as a mile and 1 / 4 cost, however on a number of events as a 3 and four-year-old has seemed wanting stamina for that journey. To my eyes, that is his optimum distance.
I believe he raced method too freely when close to the entrance of the mammoth discipline within the Royal Hunt Cup, however earlier than that, his positioned efforts at Ripon and Sandown Park have been very a lot as much as customary for a race of this class and I believe he may have an excessive amount of on the enterprise finish for this lot.
A very good function race on the Lincolnshire monitor over 2m5f and several other of those are prone to charge even larger on the again finish of summer season and into autumn. You possibly can set your clock by The Good Lense who on the age of 11 retains on churning out the performances and as soon as once more fenced with nice aplomb when successful over an prolonged two and a half miles at Southwell at the start of June and exhibiting his ordinary good perspective when push got here to shove.
A giant hike within the weights added to an increase in school will make it harder for the 11-year-old, however he might nonetheless be the largest hazard to ITSO FURY. To my eyes, Jonjo hasn’t all the time been the very best coach at nurturing younger horses to their peak, however I believe within the case of this son of Fame and Glory he has one thing fairly gifted to work with.
The teenager was rated 130 over hurdles and following one promising run over fences he’s now right down to 125. That run got here behind the gifted Hyland at Southwell when he fenced properly till getting the third final all flawed and was given an easy time down the lane. That kindness will hopefully be repaid right here with that have behind him.
Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Ideas
13:50 Limerick – Blanc De Noir
15:15 Chelmsford – Pinafore
16:10 Ayr – Regheeb
16:35 Market Rasen – Itso Fury
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.
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