Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Ideas
13:50 Limerick – Blanc De Noir
15:15 Chelmsford – Pinafore
16:10 Ayr – Regheeb
16:35 Market Rasen – Itso Fury
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.
Unstable Analyst gained a Listed race at Doncaster on the Lincoln assembly of 2022, (he was my solely wager that day and I fled earlier than the large race) however from then until now it has been a mighty slippery slope for the seven-year-old. Rated 105 after that occasion, he has now plummeted to a ranking of 77 which is a winnable mark if he will get some give within the floor.
Nonetheless, the entry make-up of this race means he’s lots worse off with a few of his rivals than he can be in a handicap, so he’s reluctantly handed over till operating in such a race. So the vote goes to BLANC DE NOIR who has at all times regarded like he wanted a check over seven furlongs having run nearly all of the time over six.
His most up-to-date run over this journey on the Curragh appeared to again up that time and there was no approach he can be aggressive again down in journey to the minimal distance at Navan final outing. Set to be hidden away in midfield by the dependable Ben Coen, I anticipate this vastly constant son of Showcasing to complete with some aplomb and add to his single win at his 14th profession try earlier than taking in a extra invaluable occasion at the next degree.
This function race on the Essex card has a number of runners rated in three figures and above, however most have little or no expertise on the sand, Stenton Glider (rated 104) being chief amongst them. Cloud Cowl is the principle all-weather specialist having gained a category 4 handicap simply off a ranking of 80 earlier than touchdown a career-best at Newcastle final outing off 89.
This fairly clearly requires an extra step ahead however her potential to deal with this floor is of paramount significance. In distinction, PINAFORE is one from one away from turf however that solely got here in a seven-furlong novice at Kempton Park as a two-year-old. Since then the daughter of Darkish Angel has gained off a ranking of 82, 84 and successful off 93. The final outing took her type to a model new excessive when second in a Listed contest over this journey at Musselburgh.
Held up off a good tempo on that event, she was nonetheless a way out the again on the quarter-mile pole and got here residence properly to complete two lengths off Jabaara who was higher positioned and confirmed a greater flip of foot. The winner has cemented the shape properly with a clean success in an identical race at Carlisle on the again finish of June.
I’d not be stunned if Benacre had been to set off out in entrance and keep there for this class three handicap which doesn’t have an terrible lot of power in depth. His handicap mark definitely gained’t cease him and will probably be extra of a matter of Joe Fanning getting the fractions spot on and making this a relative check of stamina as he stays additional, however there is no such thing as a higher man for the job from the sharp finish.
However he might merely give a successful result in REGHEEB who firstly of his profession was regarded as a mile and 1 / 4 cost, however on a number of events as a 3 and four-year-old has regarded in need of stamina for that journey. To my eyes, that is his optimum distance.
I feel he raced approach too freely when close to the entrance of the mammoth area within the Royal Hunt Cup, however earlier than that, his positioned efforts at Ripon and Sandown Park had been very a lot as much as commonplace for a race of this class and I feel he can have an excessive amount of on the enterprise finish for this lot.
A extremely good function race on the Lincolnshire observe over 2m5f and several other of those are more likely to price even larger on the again finish of summer season and into autumn. You’ll be able to set your clock by The Good Lense who on the age of 11 retains on churning out the performances and as soon as once more fenced with nice aplomb when successful over an prolonged two and a half miles at Southwell firstly of June and displaying his regular good angle when push got here to shove.
A giant hike within the weights added to an increase in school will make it harder for the 11-year-old, however he may nonetheless be the most important hazard to ITSO FURY. To my eyes, Jonjo hasn’t at all times been the most effective coach at nurturing younger horses to their peak, however I feel within the case of this son of Fame and Glory he has one thing fairly gifted to work with.
The teen was rated 130 over hurdles and following one promising run over fences he’s now all the way down to 125. That run got here behind the gifted Hyland at Southwell when he fenced properly till getting the third final all incorrect and was given a very simple time down the lane. That kindness will hopefully be repaid right here with that have behind him.
Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Ideas
13:50 Limerick – Blanc De Noir
15:15 Chelmsford – Pinafore
16:10 Ayr – Regheeb
16:35 Market Rasen – Itso Fury
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.
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