Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Suggestions
2.42 Listowel – Polar Bear & Coumshingaun
3.25 Nottingham – Mereside Angel
4.40 Hamilton – Geremia
5.10 Hamilton – Kings Lynn
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to vary.
Of the 4 races I’ve picked for the ‘Worth Performs’ this week, I believed that this supplied the very best probability of a very massive outsider flying by way of the flames and touchdown a giant money booty for us. Mercurial galloped by way of the hock deep floor on the Curragh final outing and being on the prime of his type is revered, however the drying floor shouldn’t be excellent for this son of Prince of Lir.
Coumshingaun is a large participant following his eye catching run at Naas behind Dance Evening final outing and I’ll nicely have a saver on this mare and he or she might be my reserve alternative behind the Jessica Harrington cost Polar Bear. He ran in some fairly honest maidens as a juvenile, nevertheless it took till his ninth begin in a busy first season to get off the mark. One other heavy marketing campaign adopted final 12 months with a win off 82 and a spot off 85.
This time period he has completed behind the aforementioned Mercurial, however that is extra his floor sort and the intermediate journey of six and a half furlong additionally appears to be like excellent after simply backing out within the remaining 150 yards when a particularly reasonable fourth of 15 behind Brains at Roscommon.
A low grade 5f expend that has so many gamers on not so current type that it took me some time to kind the wheat from the chaff. At first look, I actually appreciated the claims of massive outsider Chief of Navy following an extended spell out in Dubai the place he ran in some cracking races. Nonetheless, following his comeback run right here at Chelmsford I simply felt that he in all probability wanted a minimum of yet another run to acclimatise again on these shores. Nonetheless, look ahead to any important market strikes in the course of the day and earlier than the race because the secure have made a cracking begin to the season.
J R Cavagin and Excessive Opinion had been additionally on my quick listing for very completely different causes, however the very best various with the drying floor massively in his favour needs to be the Barron clan’s runner Mereside Angel. The entire gray gelding’s finest runs have come when he has had a very robust tempo to run at and that set-up merely didn’t exist on his first two runs this season at Ripon after which in a smaller subject on quick floor at Carlisle. Sure, he acts on all floor, however a nicer floor fits higher for him than the one encountered on the Cumbrian observe. There’s each probability that Ben Sanderson can file him away in midfield after which mow down this subject off a profession low mark of simply 62.
This appears to be like to be a center distance handicap that has loads of energy in depth at this stage and a bucket load of tempo up prime as nicely. 4 of the 13 runners take one another on once more following Geremia’s late rally to beat Capital Rally (2nd), Masai Mara (4th) and Faylaq (fifth) and I can see an identical consequence right here with the primary named together with Too Pleasant, Easy Star and Hope You Can Run all prone to be on the sharp finish from flag fall.
Of these entries, the final named is essentially the most attention-grabbing as he has all the time promised to be suited by this step again up in journey and if simply staying off the recent tempo racing as a presser he may readily get first run on the choice. Nonetheless, the admirably versatile decide nonetheless stays on a successful mark following that success off 80 (simply 4lbs greater right here). I admit it’s sort of a boring choice to many tipping a final outing winner, however this admirable six-year-old has most every part in his favour and might improve his already very good 5101 file.
Bergerac is tough to withstand right here, however is a sprinter you possibly can go over a cliff with and nonetheless not see any returns till manner deeper into the season. Again to again wins at Southwell and Newcastle final 12 months off 85 and 90 makes him a attainable participant right here off 91, however this appears to be like a very good class two occasion and there are different locations to search for the worth each-way play.
Aberama Gold has additionally reached a workable mark, whereas American Affair continues to stand up the category ladder following a transparent lower success off 70 in a category 4 occasion. A 10lbs hike within the weights clearly makes it harder for this progressive four-year-old having solely his twelfth profession begin however he travelled so easily by way of his final race that it isn’t out of the query.
However ultimately I made a decision to facet with Andrew Balding’s cost Kings Lynn. His final two runs at Goodwood and Newcastle counsel {that a} drop from 107 to 94 over the previous 12 months means it’s lastly the time to twist somewhat than follow him. You would argue {that a} flat 6f works finest for this elegant seven-year-old, however the Glasgow observe with its remaining climb greater than makes up for that set-up. I fancy the son of Cable Bay to lastly land his fifth profession win and his first since manner again on Could 2022.
Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Suggestions
2.42 Listowel – Polar Bear & Coumshingaun
3.25 Nottingham – Mereside Angel
4.40 Hamilton – Geremia
5.10 Hamilton – Kings Lynn
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to vary.
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