Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Ideas
14:50 Plumpton – Invictus De Brion
15:00 Listowel – Vischio
16:12 Hamilton – Tilsitt
16:42 Hamilton – Bay Breeze
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.
Unusual issues can occur to average flat performers after they have eight flights of hurdles put in entrance of them, and the identical will be mentioned when timber toppers tackle the problem of leaping a fence.
Rated as excessive as 91 over hurdles, INVICTUS DE BRION was off the observe for 436 days earlier than lastly returning to motion in June of this 12 months. Two runs confirmed how ring rusty he was with midfield shows, after which connections determined to modify to the bigger obstacles.
Understandably a bit scratchy early on, Rex Dingle gave the six-year-old a stunning instructional journey, and as such, his leaping steadily grew to become slicker. It was clear his likelihood of catching Belgarum was none nonexistent, absolutely half a mile out, and underneath the minimal strain from his companion, he saved on properly underneath a sympathetic journey to complete a by no means nearer 17 lengths third.
With that run underneath his belt and 8lbs higher off on the weights with the winner, I shall be shocked if this flippantly raced six-year-old isn’t concerned on the enterprise finish right here.
A giant subject of mares are set to line up for this prolonged two and 1 / 4 mile handicap hurdle and it took me a very long time to whittle down my brief checklist to simply three entries.
I feel that One Night time Customary will be forgiven her final run at Killarney when she was not travelling at any stage following a earlier runaway win in a Wexford maiden. Rated as excessive as 95 on the flat, high weight Dame Rapide has but to translate that sort of expertise over timber however has proven on her final two begins that her flip is at hand.
Nonetheless, each might have to present finest to the daughter of Holy Roman Emperor, VISCHIO. Listed runs on the extent have simply been a shade too arduous for her of late though she was removed from disgraced within the Classic Tipples Stakes in Could. Danny Mullins takes over from Conor Stone-Walsh following a one paced effort at Galway and that would properly be the tipping level right here.
Epidavros appears to be like certain to begin among the many market leaders right here following a clean as silk success at Carlisle on delicate floor final day trip. At all times on the heels of the leaders, the filly went about her enterprise in good model when requested to quicken by PJ McDonald and off only a 4lbs increased mark merely has to enter calculations.
The filly might push the veteran choice all the best way, however a differential of 12lbs could also be too scorching to deal with for the flippantly raced three-year-old. Set to run in his fifty fifth profession begin I’ve all the time thought {that a} mile and a half simply stretches the previous boy and that idea was as soon as once more confirmed when he ran at Musselburgh Final month.
Operating throughout his rivals down the house stretch for the ultimate time, the seven-year-old regarded poised to strike between the 2 and the one pole, however emptied out badly on the distance. This drop again to an prolonged 9 furlongs on a a lot stiffer observe appears to be like a significantly better match and TILSITT can reward each-way gamers with the competent Rhys Elliott claiming 7lbs off his again.
This appears to be like nearly essentially the most aggressive race of the day on both aspect of the Irish Sea, with a number of properly handled sprinters set to line up in a subject of 10.
I first thought of high weight Hierarchy, who has been operating in some honest class 4 occasions over the previous three months and confirmed that his flip was simply across the nook when staying on properly behind Bishop’s Crown at Salisbury. The son of Mehmas might properly be the most important hazard to the choice off a career-low mark of 74 with the red-hot Saffie Osborne using out of her pores and skin.
The truth is, I could properly have a saver on the highest weight, however in receipt of 4lbs the Tim Easterby cost, BAY BREEZE, may be the worth name right here.
The choice ran a cracker behind Dicko The Legend at York two outings again, simply backing out inside the ultimate 75 yards, and his final run will be safely forgotten as he practically unshipped David Allan popping out of the stalls at Ripon.
Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Ideas
14:50 Plumpton – Invictus De Brion
15:00 Listowel – Vischio
16:12 Hamilton – Tilsitt
16:42 Hamilton – Bay Breeze
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.
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