Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Suggestions
12:43 Huntingdon – Diamond Cube
13:30 Kelso – Solid Effectively
14:05 Kelso – Raceview Street
14:50 Cork – Aine’s Lad
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to vary.
I’m nonetheless attempting to get the hold of the lightly-weighted, disappointing Opera King, who must be completely able to profitable off a mark of 97. However when he seems like a gold medal is across the nook, he throws in an absolute stinker as he did at Hereford final time. Though I might be mistaken, I reckon his coach might be tearing his hair out over him as nicely!
Orchestra received properly over the course and distance final outing, and to be truthful, regardless of being hiked up a grade, that is hardly a a lot stronger affair, and softer floor received’t be an issue. Bread and Butter has been shrewdly campaigned by Olly Murphy, profitable off 95 and 99 and bids for the hat-trick off 100, however the higher floor might be his port of name. Whereas Aggagio has run too free on his final two begins, the handicapper has given him an opportunity if he settles higher right now.
Nonetheless, with so many query marks on what will likely be softening floor about a number of of those, I believe this might lower up dramatically; the top-weight DIAMOND DICE should be the decision right here.
He ran nicely in a number of delicate floor novice hurdles final yr, profitable a maiden hurdle at Ludlow, and his two runs in higher class at Aintree and Market Rasen on a quicker floor recommend he ought to go fairly shut right here, giving weight away all spherical. He’s set to run off a considerably decrease mark right here, with Benjamin Macy taking up from Jonjo O’Neill with 10lbs off his again for good measure.
It is a handicap hurdle with loads of tempo on from a number of entries. Though circumstances will decide a barely extra cautious method from a number of of them, I anticipate this can nonetheless be a take a look at on the journey. Lunar Chief was a game-winner over the course and distance in a novice hurdle final outing and needs to be revered.
He’s set to make his handicap debut off a mark of 113, which seems truthful sufficient, whereas Younger Jack (wanted his return) and Observe Charlie may every run nicely, the latter 7lbs decrease than final time at Ayr, with Ben Smith taking 7lbs off his again.
However all of them might be weak to FORGED WELL. A five-year-old with only a few miles on the lock, Martin Todhunter’s cost saved answering the calls of Sean Quinlan when touchdown a 2m5f handicap right here final outing on good to delicate floor when he solely actually discovered his stride within the last 175 yards.
A 4 lb penalty might be about proper for that slim success. The third completed 5 and a half lengths away, however this deeper floor will likely be excellent for him. If, as I anticipate, they go at a tempo, his assured stamina will come into play massive time when turning for dwelling.
With the forecast rains set to hit the observe, as is historically the case, this will likely be one more stamina-sapping renewal of the Borders Nationwide, and it might be a case of final horse standing as the sector makes their approach up the long term in for the ultimate time. Final yr’s winner, Flower of Scotland, has bought herself properly handicapped in time for the defence of her title, received off 114 and is now right down to 107.
She almost at all times comes on for her seasonal debut and has been well-supported over the previous 48 hours to retain her title. Dropped to a mark of 128, the well-regarded Your Personal Story was pulled up in the identical race the mare completed fifth in at Carlisle (Jet Legs sixth), however that run was too unhealthy to be true. Lucinda Russell has caught the cheekpieces on him for the primary time right here, and the handicapper has dropped the eight-year-old to a good mark of 128.
However they might all be weak to the calmly weighted RACEVIEW ROAD, who, to my eyes, has been crying out for a deep take a look at of stamina. Certainly, the six-year-old hasn’t been probably the most fluent of jumpers in simply the 4 begins of fences, however he’s step by step getting the hold of issues as much as an prolonged three miles, and this step up in journey will put much less strain on his fencing within the anticipated deep floor.
I believed that he was an enormous eye-catcher behind Related Story right here two outings again, making a number of niggly errors earlier than flying up the long term for dwelling to be crushed a by no means nearer third and has since run a fair higher race over the looking three miles at Carlisle. There must be an entire lot extra to return on this setup.
Of the a number of graded races on the cardboard on the Mallow observe, Hilly Manner seems like a cracking renewal. The calmly raced Ferny Hole is arguably probably the most gifted horse on present and, for that matter, probably within the yard. Desperately exhausting to maintain sound, ought to he win right now and get to the beginning at Cheltenham, the nine-year-old might be a real Champion Chase participant and he has a wonderful report contemporary.
Nonetheless, for worth betting functions, this massive area two-and-a-half mile handicap hurdle seems much more up my punting road. After a lot deliberation, I lastly managed to get my shortlist right down to 4. Younger Lucy ran a race filled with promise at Cheltenham final time and definitely received’t thoughts these softer circumstances, whereas Johnny Blue and top-weight Killaney King are each revered for his or her highly effective yards at this stage. The final named has at all times been nicely regarded by his astute handler, and a transfer within the market must be famous for him.
However at a double determine worth, I’m eager on the calmly raced AINE’S LAD. Three miles on the again finish of final yr appeared a shade too far for the son of Kalanisi and he appeared badly in want of the run after blowing up between three and two out and subsequently making a foul mistake on his seasonal debut at Navan. This journey ought to go well with them so a lot better, and I anticipate the five-year-old to take an enormous step ahead right here, as, certainly, he should do to be concerned.
Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Suggestions
12:43 Huntingdon – Diamond Cube
13:30 Kelso – Solid Effectively
14:05 Kelso – Raceview Street
14:50 Cork – Aine’s Lad
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to vary.
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