Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Ideas
12:43 Huntingdon – Diamond Cube
13:30 Kelso – Cast Nicely
14:05 Kelso – Raceview Street
14:50 Cork – Aine’s Lad
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to vary.
I’m nonetheless attempting to get the grasp of the lightly-weighted, disappointing Opera King, who needs to be completely able to successful off a mark of 97. However when he seems like a gold medal is across the nook, he throws in an absolute stinker as he did at Hereford final time. Though I could possibly be mistaken, I reckon his coach might be tearing his hair out over him as nicely!
Orchestra gained properly over the course and distance final day out, and to be honest, regardless of being hiked up a grade, that is hardly a a lot stronger affair, and softer floor gained’t be an issue. Bread and Butter has been shrewdly campaigned by Olly Murphy, successful off 95 and 99 and bids for the hat-trick off 100, however the higher floor could possibly be his port of name. Whereas Aggagio has run too free on his final two begins, the handicapper has given him an opportunity if he settles higher at the moment.
Nonetheless, with so many query marks on what can be softening floor about a number of of those, I think this might reduce up dramatically; the top-weight DIAMOND DICE have to be the decision right here.
He ran nicely in a number of comfortable floor novice hurdles final yr, successful a maiden hurdle at Ludlow, and his two runs in higher class at Aintree and Market Rasen on a quicker floor counsel he ought to go fairly shut right here, giving weight away all spherical. He’s set to run off a considerably decrease mark right here, with Benjamin Macy taking up from Jonjo O’Neill with 10lbs off his again for good measure.
This can be a handicap hurdle with loads of tempo on from a number of entries. Though situations will decide a barely extra cautious method from a number of of them, I anticipate this can nonetheless be a take a look at on the journey. Lunar Chief was a game-winner over the course and distance in a novice hurdle final day out and needs to be revered.
He’s set to make his handicap debut off a mark of 113, which seems honest sufficient, whereas Younger Jack (wanted his return) and Observe Charlie may every run nicely, the latter 7lbs decrease than final time at Ayr, with Ben Smith taking 7lbs off his again.
However all of them could possibly be weak to FORGED WELL. A five-year-old with only a few miles on the lock, Martin Todhunter’s cost stored answering the calls of Sean Quinlan when touchdown a 2m5f handicap right here final day out on good to comfortable floor when he solely actually discovered his stride within the closing 175 yards.
A 4 lb penalty might be about proper for that slim success. The third completed 5 and a half lengths away, however this deeper floor can be excellent for him. If, as I count on, they go at a tempo, his assured stamina will come into play huge time when turning for dwelling.
With the forecast rains set to hit the observe, as is historically the case, this can be yet one more stamina-sapping renewal of the Borders Nationwide, and it could possibly be a case of final horse standing as the sphere makes their method up the long term in for the ultimate time. Final yr’s winner, Flower of Scotland, has obtained herself properly handicapped in time for the defence of her title, gained off 114 and is now right down to 107.
She practically at all times comes on for her seasonal debut and has been well-supported over the previous 48 hours to retain her title. Dropped to a mark of 128, the well-regarded Your Personal Story was pulled up in the identical race the mare completed fifth in at Carlisle (Jet Legs sixth), however that run was too dangerous to be true. Lucinda Russell has caught the cheekpieces on him for the primary time right here, and the handicapper has dropped the eight-year-old to a good mark of 128.
However they might all be weak to the frivolously weighted RACEVIEW ROAD, who, to my eyes, has been crying out for a deep take a look at of stamina. Certainly, the six-year-old hasn’t been essentially the most fluent of jumpers in simply the 4 begins of fences, however he’s step by step getting the grasp of issues as much as an prolonged three miles, and this step up in journey will put much less stress on his fencing within the anticipated deep floor.
I believed that he was an enormous eye-catcher behind Comparable Story right here two outings again, making a number of niggly errors earlier than flying up the long term for dwelling to be crushed a by no means nearer third and has since run a fair higher race over the looking out three miles at Carlisle. There needs to be a complete lot extra to return on this setup.
Of the a number of graded races on the cardboard on the Mallow observe, Hilly Means seems like a cracking renewal. The frivolously raced Ferny Hole is arguably essentially the most proficient horse on present and, for that matter, presumably within the yard. Desperately exhausting to maintain sound, ought to he win at the moment and get to the beginning at Cheltenham, the nine-year-old could possibly be a real Champion Chase participant and he has a superb file recent.
Nonetheless, for worth betting functions, this huge area two-and-a-half mile handicap hurdle seems much more up my punting road. After a lot deliberation, I lastly managed to get my shortlist right down to 4. Younger Lucy ran a race filled with promise at Cheltenham final time and definitely gained’t thoughts these softer situations, whereas Johnny Blue and top-weight Killaney King are each revered for his or her highly effective yards at this stage. The final named has at all times been nicely regarded by his astute handler, and a transfer within the market needs to be famous for him.
However at a double determine worth, I’m eager on the frivolously raced AINE’S LAD. Three miles on the again finish of final yr seemed a shade too far for the son of Kalanisi and he seemed badly in want of the run after blowing up between three and two out and subsequently making a nasty mistake on his seasonal debut at Navan. This journey ought to go well with them so a lot better, and I count on the five-year-old to take a giant step ahead right here, as, certainly, he should do to be concerned.
Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Ideas
12:43 Huntingdon – Diamond Cube
13:30 Kelso – Cast Nicely
14:05 Kelso – Raceview Street
14:50 Cork – Aine’s Lad
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to vary.
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