Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Ideas
13:05 Fairyhouse – Stormy Choose
13:35 Fairyhouse – Bleu De Vassy (Every-Manner)
13:55 Carlisle – Illico De Cotte
14:30 Carlisle – Jackpot d’Athou
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to vary.
If anybody would have instructed me on the again finish of 2022 that Favori de Champdou could be racing off a chase handicap mark of 139 I’d have laughed lengthy and onerous. Right here was a staying novice hurdler on the time, that had rushed house within the Lyons of Limerick, after which regardless of being pulled up within the Albert Bartlett, he then ran away with the Florida Pearl the next yr on his second chase begin. And dare I say it, even ideas of a Gold Cup had been muttered. Nonetheless, since then the wheels have fallen off with simply the three runs in 2024. However then got here a chink of sunshine final trip, at his beloved Limerick, when the son of Saddler Maker landed a Grade Three over 3m on deep floor. Now a nine-year-old, however comparatively calmly raced, Gordon Elliott’s cost is one in every of three entries from the yard, and racing below the 140 mark makes him of nice curiosity, stepping again up in journey. The proportion name, powerful as it’s, is probably to oppose him.
My Immortal was by no means going to be fast sufficient to win over 2 and three/4 miles at Galway earlier this yr, and I fancy this distance will result in extra enchancment on solely his sixth chase begin, and he could possibly be the most important hazard to Klarc Kent and STORMY JUDGE. The previous was nicely backed to land the Colm Quinn at Punchestown in Could, however struggled a good distance out, and I can’t fathom why the handicapper hasn’t dropped him from a mark of 130. He nonetheless has potential, as does the tip. I’ve lengthy considered him as an actual lung buster, one thing he’s proven in each the Thyestes of this yr and the Grand Nationwide Trial at Punchestown, when his early leaping was sloppy earlier than operating on when the race was over. Two runs in staying handicap hurdles ought to have him at peak health and spherical of leaping ought to see the Co. Carlow entry outrun his value by a way.
I used to be going to bypass the graded races on Sunday, however as a lot as I like Romeo Coolio as a novice hurdler (already backed him at 20’s for the Supreme) I’m not of the opinion that he’s an odds-on shot for this Bar One Royal Bond Novice Hurdle. Sure, he hosed up first trip at Down Royal, however I’m undecided what that kind is value and he’ll clearly charge a lot increased as there are a number of promising hurdlers on this subject, who needs to be nearer to the market chief within the betting.
What is obvious about this Grade Two is there are a number of entries that prefer to race prominently, and that would nicely go well with Sam Ewing’s BLEU DE VASSY. Though he too has raced on the sharp finish, when successful his maiden right here, after which the For Public sale at Navan, he travels properly on the bridle and settles nicely. Additionally an actual mark of his runs over timber to date have been a capability to get from one facet of a hurdle to the opposite very effectively, and with numerous these wanting very novicey of their races up to now, I make the son of Cokoriko a strong each-way play regardless of his 3lbs penalty.
This 0-130 handicap chase over an prolonged 3m seems to be a very aggressive renewal at this degree, with the superb veteran Crosspark heading the weights off a mark of 126, plus the promising Tom Broughton taking a a lot wanted 5lbs of his again. Choosethenews seemed in want of the run, when simply backing out on the run-in when outstayed by Tedley over two and a half mile sat Wetherby, however I’m undecided he’s actually crying out for an additional half mile on this stiffest of tracks.
Come On Teddy is the one I worry most. He was nicely backed on his proposed comeback at Cheltenham a few weeks in the past, however Harry Derham took the 10-year-old out, due the drying floor. If there’s cash on him once more, and the bottom is in his favour, then I’d suggest you’ve got a saver on him as apparently his education at house had been spot on earlier than that withdrawal.
However I’m going to row in with the market chief ILLICO DE COTTE right here, if solely as a result of I believe he’ll go away this class nicely behind him within the depths of the winter months. Solely rated 118 over hurdles, this self-discipline was at all times going to go well with him and he confirmed that in no unsure phrases by successful over three and 1 / 4 miles right here on the finish of October. I truly thought he could be raised one of the best a part of a stone for that run however 7lbs was the penalty pinned on him by the assessor. He jumped brilliantly that day, for a horse with no expertise over fences in public, and that may stand him in good stead in opposition to extra skilled chasers. His potential is sky excessive and I believe he’ll brush these apart, and go onto higher issues, regardless of his place on the head of the market.
A 3rd to the very sensible Quai de Bourbon at Ayr in April arguably makes Bertie’s Bullet the choose of the weights on this Challenger qualifier, however in two subsequent outings at Wetherby and Hexham, he’s been disappointing and arguably wouldn’t need extra rain to vary the bottom right here.
Pembroke didn’t fully take to chasing, however as a hurdler ran some fairly scorching races and this seems to be putting by Dan Skelton, off what seems to be an OK mark of 134, however I’m undecided he may give 13lbs away to JACKPOT D’ATHOU on this observe.
Paul Nicholls has given his cost the anticipated and common wind operation, and there was lots to love about his comeback run at Kempton Park over 2m5f , when he solely actually backed out within the ultimate quarter mile. Harry Cobden takes over within the saddle, and the return to a stiff 2m, allied to a bit extra give within the turf seems to be way more his cup of tea. C&D winner, To Chase a Dream, battled house right here on the finish of October, however this seems to be a a lot more durable task for the Paul Collins’ educated runner, off a 5lbs increased ranking.
Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Ideas
13:05 Fairyhouse – Stormy Choose
13:35 Fairyhouse – Bleu De Vassy (Every-Manner)
13:55 Carlisle – Illico De Cotte
14:30 Carlisle – Jackpot d’Athou
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to vary.
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