Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Suggestions
13:55 Navan – Sundial
14:30 Navan – Chemical Power
14:55 Cheltenham – Hymac
15:30 Cheltenham – Fiercely Proud
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.
13:55 Navan – Sundial
With the small fields, final week was a time to toe the road and try to forge some winners and never merely go for larger costs merely for the sake of it. Nevertheless, immediately is a distinct kettle of fish, and of my 4 picks, this race was the one which caught my eye. High weight Anna Burnina will need to have stable claims, with Alex Harvey taking her mark all the way down to 125.
The younger man did nothing improper along with her at Cheltenham final month, and a repeat salvo makes her the one to beat. I did consider doing break up stakes on this race with the improved positioned phrases, however in the long run, even I needed to cop out of a speculative wager on A Wave Of The Sea, who has come again with two horrendous runs over fences on his favoured floor at Kilbeggan. Leaping has by no means been his robust go well with, so a return to timber might assist, however I’ll look elsewhere with the Mark Walsh runner, SUNDIAL.
The son of Galileo hasn’t fulfilled his preliminary promise, nevertheless it stays early days for the five-year-old, and there was a lot to love about his late working. It must be stated that it’s barely controversial, nearest the end second behind Slieve Carran at Punchestown over three miles. Much more contentious is that the handicapper has put him up 2 lbs for that run after being crushed seven and a half lengths!
Nonetheless, with loads of tempo components on this area, he ought to be capable of journey inside his consolation zone all through, and though brief sufficient within the betting, the teenager is most well-liked to the four-year-old’s Membership Supervisor and Duke Silver. The final named would have bolted up final outing at Wexford had he not blundered on the final and is value at the least two additional lengths on high of his determine there.
The Troytown is at all times a aggressive and intriguing affair. Gordon Elliott reckons we are going to see American Mike take one other step ahead this season when circumstances are in his favour. The Co Meath monitor has been superb to him with type figures of 12411, together with ‘that’ success over Reality To File 12 months in the past. Disappointing towards that rival within the Brown Advisory on the Cheltenham Pageant following a determined spherical of leaping (simply taken out of his consolation zone), he jumped higher on the Punchestown Pageant however was once more finally discovered in Grade One firm.
This set-up will go well with him higher, and it’s value remembering that this may solely be his sixth begin over fences, and a mark of 145 appears to be like viable. However so long as the bottom stays good to yielding, I discover it arduous to depart out his secure mate, CHEMICAL ENERGY, who bounced again to type with a high quality third within the Munster Nationwide, and he will get one other probability to run off the identical score right here.
He was going alongside in his personal time in rear and making headway late on the second circuit when combating with the twenty seventh. He In the end pulled up within the Aintree Nationwide, however that was a cracking run on that gentle floor. These are far more his circumstances, and he’s once more firmly within the combine at a double-figure value.
14:55 Cheltenham – Hymac
A number of connections with entries close to the highest of the handicap will likely be glad to see Welsh Nationwide runaway hero Nassalam declared, however not a lot these close to the foot of the weights.
If we get all and probably a bit extra of the forecast showers, I fancy that Monbeg Genius will make his mark and possibly gained’t run if we get no precipitation. He actually had a lot in his favour within the Ultima on the Pageant. However he was at all times in leaping misery territory following a number of early niggly errors, together with having a grass sandwich after the fourth.
After that, he was by no means on the races (he misplaced a foreshoe and struck into his left foreleg). He had beforehand run nicely within the 2023 Ultima behind Corach Rambler when he barely touched a twig, so given loads of break day to get well from these setbacks, a mark of 144 appears to be like particularly reasonable if he is able to roll.
Ballygrifincottage made stealthy headway on the high of the stretch earlier than an absence of a run instructed behind Neon Moon and is carefully matched up with Abuffalosoldider on the road by the identical horse. The final named formed up properly for this with a staying on second at Exeter, and he has twice run nicely on the Prestbury Park monitor, albeit over hurdles, staying on strongly up the hill on each events. He’s a participant and possibly the most important hazard to fellow light-weight and my choice, HYMAC.
This monitor holds no terrors for the eight-year-old tip, and he appears to be like like a robust stayer, as judged by his success right here within the spring. A pleasant comeback win at Newton Abbot over shorter and on the horrible floor ought to have teed him properly for this, and a career-best is within the offing.
The phrase from the Fergal O’Brien camp is that Dysart Enos is bouncing, and the climate gods have been sort to her. I used to be additionally gutted she needed to be withdrawn from the Cheltenham Pageant the night time earlier than having bagged 12/1 on her, and in hindsight, the best way that race was slowly run, her flip of foot would absolutely have taken her near successful. Her mark of 131 may simply be excavated right here, however this set-up is manner totally different from those she has been experiencing and towards higher and extra seasoned campaigners as nicely, and I’m glad to let her win on the value, which I believe may subside to round 5/2.
Burdett Highway bumped into Sir Gino on his ultimate begin over hurdles however has proven he stays on the improve with some good performances on the flat, notably successful off 100 at Newmarket (racing prominently) after which not disgraced when put into the deep finish behind the sensible Kyprios within the Lengthy Distance Cup on Champions Day. He additionally has room to enhance off 133, whereas it’s also early days over timber for Below Management and the four-year-old’s Royal Manner and Toll Stone.
However in pursuing a ‘worth play’, I’ve determined to return down on the facet of the Ben Pauling runner, FIERCELY PROUD. He appeared in want of the run final outing at Ascot. He was coming to the top of his rope between the third and second final hurdles when push got here to shove, and tiredness received the higher of him on the penultimate flight. So long as he’s none the more serious for that fall, he will get one other probability to run off 129 on floor that holds no terrors for him.
Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Suggestions
13:55 Navan – Sundial
14:30 Navan – Chemical Power
14:55 Cheltenham – Hymac
15:30 Cheltenham – Fiercely Proud
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.
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