Welcome to Noel Michaels’ Weekend Winners, the place to go for weekend greatest bets and spot performs from veteran handicapper and tournament-play pioneer Noel Michaels. Test again each week for a few highlighted picks designed that will help you money just a few bets and make some cash.
Noel’s picks have been featured nearly in every single place horse racing picks could be discovered, together with in print within the Each day Racing Type, The HorsePlayer Journal and American Turf Month-to-month, on-line at DRF.com, Twinspires.com and USRacing.com, from the paddock on-track at Arlington Worldwide Racecourse, and on the air on HRTV, TVG, NYC OTB Further, NYRA’s SatuTalking Horses, and on broadcast TV on WAVE-3 Louisville, ABC KOLO-8 in Reno, Nevada, and channel 72 Lengthy Island Cablevision.
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Six Newbie Betting Instruments
- Begin easy with an simple information for how you can guess on horse racing.
- Unsure what that phrase means? Horse racing terminology is a language of its personal. Permit us translate for you
- What the heck is a pace determine? This newbie’s information to hurry figures has all the pieces it is advisable know.
- Betting on horse racing could be intimidating. Crew ABR put collectively some Dos and Don’ts for the brand new fan getting began betting on racing.
- All of us make errors on the subject of betting on horse racing, listed here are eight classes discovered from expertise.
- Work out how a lot every guess will value upfront with our Playing Calculator, offered by NYRA Bets.
Saturday, Sept. 21
Saturday is the most important day of the yr in Pennsylvania racing, headlined by the looks of the nation’s standout 3-year-old filly sensation Thorpedo Anna who could be an overlay at something greater than 1-5 odds within the Grade 1, $1 million Cotillion Stakes. The day’s different function at Parx Racing would be the $1 million Pennsylvania Derby, which is a a lot better betting race with a discipline of 11 3-year-olds assembled in quest of a win in an especially tender Grade 1 spot. This pair of million-dollar highlight races tops a wealthy 14-race Saturday program at Parx that comprises a complete of 11 stakes with 5 of them graded.
The standout undercard betting race of the day is the nightcap within the $100,000 Parx Dash Stakes, which drew an evenly matched discipline of 11 horses that rounds out the excellent day of racing and wagering with maybe the hardest handicapping puzzle on the cardboard. For this weekend’s winners, let’s deal with the ultimate two races on Parx’s 14-race Saturday card, the Pennsylvania Derby and the Parx Dash. If we will end sturdy at Parx on Saturday, together with within the late Each day Double, we must always go house with good cash in our pockets. Better of luck.
Parx Racing, Race 13, $1 million Pennsylvania Derby, 6:10 p.m. ET
The Pennsylvania Derby drew an 11-horse discipline and can be an excellent betting race, particularly as a result of the horse to beat within the race is listed at 8-1 odds on the morning line. That horse is #8 Unmatched Knowledge for coach Chad Brown. Unmatched Knowledge is 3-for-3 with right now’s jockey Flavien Prat aboard, together with 2-for-2 at this 1 1/8-mile distance with a wire-to-wire win in Saratoga’s Curlin Stakes two races in the past. Unmatched Knowledge might want to rebound from a sub-par effort final time within the DraftKings Travers Stakes – therefore the 8-1 odds – however there’s motive to consider that can occur with the swap again to Prat and the cutback to 1 1/8 miles. Unmatched Knowledge additionally broke poorly and failed to indicate his standard early pace – or at the very least tactical pace – final time, and we will anticipate him to be in a greater place pace-wise right here right now. If he can certainly rebound, a repeat of his 99 Beyer Pace Determine from the Curlin Stakes win will make him robust to beat versus these. In addition to Unmatched Knowledge, the opposite actual worth within the Pennsylvania Derby can be betting towards favourite #7 Dragoon Guard, who has gained 4 races in a row however appears to have plateaued and topped-out at a 91 Beyer Pace Determine, which he has earned in every of his final three races. He’ll have to do higher than that to win this race and thereby appears to be like like a bet-against. For the exactas and trifectas together with Unmatched Knowledge, a pair of higher bets can be Preakness Stakes winner #2 Seize the Gray, who clearly has the very best ceiling on this discipline and whose latest losses have been towards a lot harder competitors within the Belmont Stakes and Jim Dandy Stakes Introduced by Mohegan Solar, and #5 Protecting, who misplaced by simply two lengths within the Peter Pan Stakes with a foul journey and constantly runs nicely at this distance.
The Play: Guess on #8 Unmatched Knowledge (8-1) to win and play him in exacta and trifecta bins with #2 Seize the Gray (5-1) and #5 Protecting (8-1). Begin your late Each day Doubles with 2 and eight on this race, and hook them up with 3, 6, and 9 in Race 14.
Parx Racing, Race 14, $100,000 Parx Dash Stakes, 6:40 p.m. ET
The get-out race on Saturday’s 14-race card would be the Parx Dash, which drew a discipline of 11 sprinters set to go 6 ½ furlongs on the principle monitor. #3 Twisted Journey owns 9 profession wins from 18 begins at Parx and now will get wanted class aid after going through Grade 1 competitors at Saratoga in each of his two most up-to-date races. Amongst these final two begins was a good third towards Nakatomi and Skelly within the Alfred G. Vanderbilt Handicap, and a repeat of that type of an effort towards this sort of competitors again on his favourite monitor needs to be sufficient to get the victory. The principle horse to worry is #6 Tremendous Chow, who’s cross-entered in a race this weekend at Laurel and should or could not run. If he does run right here, Tremendous Chow should be revered as a result of he has already gained three Grade 3 stakes in 5 begins this yr and likewise completed a stable third within the Grade 2 Carter Handicap Introduced by NYRA Bets at Aqueduct when crushed by only one ½ lengths. The opposite horse within the race to deal with can be #9 My Buddy B, who’s exiting an analogous stakes win at 6 ½ furlongs at Parx in his final race with a pace determine that’s aggressive with one of the best horses on this discipline.
The Play: Guess #3 Twisted Journey (5-1) to win and use him in exacta and trifecta bins with #6 Tremendous Chow (7-2) and #9 My Buddy B (6-1).
