Welcome to Noel Michaels’ Weekend Winners, the place to go for weekend greatest bets and spot performs from veteran handicapper and tournament-play pioneer Noel Michaels. Examine again each week for a few highlighted picks designed that will help you money just a few bets and make some cash.
Noel’s picks have been featured nearly all over the place horse racing picks could be discovered, together with in print within the Day by day Racing Kind, The HorsePlayer Journal and American Turf Month-to-month, on-line at DRF.com, Twinspires.com and USRacing.com, from the paddock on-track at Arlington Worldwide Racecourse, and on the air on HRTV, TVG, NYC OTB Additional, NYRA’s SatuTalking Horses, and on broadcast TV on WAVE-3 Louisville, ABC KOLO-8 in Reno, Nevada, and channel 72 Lengthy Island Cablevision.
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Six Newbie Betting Instruments
- Begin easy with an simple information for how you can guess on horse racing.
- Undecided what that phrase means? Horse racing terminology is a language of its personal. Permit us translate for you
- What the heck is a pace determine? This newbie’s information to hurry figures has every thing it’s good to know.
- Betting on horse racing could be intimidating. Workforce ABR put collectively some Dos and Don’ts for the brand new fan getting began betting on racing.
- All of us make errors in the case of betting on horse racing, listed here are eight classes realized from expertise.
- Determine how a lot every guess will value prematurely with our Playing Calculator, introduced by NYRA Bets.
Churchill Downs racing and wagering tops this weekend’s choices for handicappers and racing followers with an 11-race card that features six $275,000 stakes in races six by means of 11. For this weekend’s winners, let’s deal with the final two races on the cardboard, the Grade 3 Blame Stakes and the Audubon Stakes, which matches because the finale. If we will hit these two get-out races on Saturday, we should always guarantee a successful day. Better of luck.
Saturday, June 1
Churchill Downs, Race 10, $275,000 Blame Stakes, 5:27 p.m. ET
The Blame Stakes has drawn a aggressive area of 11 older horses entered to run 1 1/8 miles on the principle dust observe. A case could be made for a lot of of those horses primarily based on their greatest efforts, however many don’t presently look like of their greatest kind. That leaves the Brad Cox-trained #2 Highland Falls because the horse to beat. Highland Falls exits a runner-up end within the Grade 2 Oaklawn Handicap behind Skippylongstocking. He misplaced two races in the past within the Grade 1 Santa Anita Handicap introduced by Yaamava’ Resort & On line casino at 1 ¼ miles, however apart from that his kind has been sharp going again to consecutive allowance wins at Churchill and Honest Grounds in November and January. He appears ok to beat this area primarily based on any of these 4 most up-to-date outings. If good present kind is the deciding issue on this race versus again class, the horse with the perfect probability at an upset can be #9 Cagliostro, who returned from a six-month layoff final time and improved properly with blinkers on to win a troublesome allowance race at Keeneland over #6 Dreamlike, who additionally was getting back from an prolonged layoff in that race. Dreamlike remains to be a non-winner of two, however he’s however already gathered a stable profession resume that features a shut third-place end by a head within the 2023 Wooden Memorial Stakes Offered by Resorts World On line casino and a second-place end within the 2023 Pennsylvania Derby, a half-length behind Saudi Crown. Let’s slim down the Blame to those prime three contenders and attempt to make some cash within the exotics.
The Play: Guess to win on #2 Highland Falls (5-2) and play him in exacta and trifecta bins with #6 Dreamlike (4-1) and #9 Cagliostro (6-1). You can even use these three horses within the first half of the late Day by day Double.
Churchill Downs, Race 11, $275,000 Audubon Stakes, put up time 5:58 p.m. ET
The Audubon Stakes is a 1 1/8 turf race that has drawn a area of 10 3-year-olds to contest the Saturday nightcap. In a really aggressive area, the nod goes to #5 Formidable Man, who exhibits a good bettering sample in each considered one of his 4 races to this point in 2024, culminating final time with a second-place end in Churchill’s Grade 2 American Turf Stakes Offered by TwinSpires, wherein he got here inside 1 ½ lengths of with the ability to go wire-to-wire. He’s versatile from a tempo standpoint, too, as a result of he received a 1 1/8-mile allowance race at Santa Anita two races in the past when he didn’t make the lead. He owns the perfect last-race Beyer Velocity Determine on this area and simply beat a few immediately’s prime challengers. For the exactas, you’ll be able to go for some worth by together with one of many longshots within the area. My alternative is #10 Can Group, who was a Grade 2 winner final yr within the Fort & Key Bourbon Stakes at Keeneland after which misplaced by solely two lengths when fourth within the Prevagen Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf. He’s had attainable excuses in all three of the current losses with the loss three races in the past approaching the dust, the loss two races in the past when needing the race in return from the sidelines, and the loss final time when coming from too far behind in a race with no tempo. This might be the correct spot for Can Group to attain a constructive turnaround.
The Play: Guess #5 Formidable Man (5-1) to win and field him within the exacta with #10 Can Group (15-1). Play each horses within the again half of your late doubles.
