Welcome to Noel Michaels’ Weekend Winners, the place to go for weekend finest bets and spot performs from veteran handicapper and tournament-play pioneer Noel Michaels. Verify again each week for a few highlighted picks designed that will help you money a number of bets and make some cash.
Noel’s picks have been featured nearly in every single place horse racing picks will be discovered, together with in print within the Every day Racing Type, The HorsePlayer Journal and American Turf Month-to-month, on-line at DRF.com, Twinspires.com and USRacing.com, from the paddock on-track at Arlington Worldwide Racecourse, and on the air on HRTV, TVG, NYC OTB Additional, NYRA’s SatuTalking Horses, and on broadcast TV on WAVE-3 Louisville, ABC KOLO-8 in Reno, Nevada, and channel 72 Lengthy Island Cablevision.
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Six Newbie Betting Instruments
- Begin easy with an straightforward information for find out how to guess on horse racing.
- Unsure what that phrase means? Horse racing terminology is a language of its personal. Enable us translate for you
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- Betting on horse racing will be intimidating. Workforce ABR put collectively some Dos and Don’ts for the brand new fan getting began betting on racing.
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The most important race day of the perfect race meet of the 12 months is lastly right here as Saratoga hosts DraftKings Travers Stakes Day this Saturday. The Travers program is the whole lot you’ll hope for as a horseplayer and handicapper and racing fan with 14 races on the cardboard together with 5 Grade 1 stakes. For this weekend’s winners, let’s focus our consideration on two of Saratoga’s Grade 1 Saturday stakes – the H. Allen Jerkens Memorial Stakes, and naturally the large one, the 155th operating of the DraftKings Travers. These two occasions would be the pinnacle of a star-studded Saturday of racing and wagering at Saratoga. Benefit from the races and better of luck.
Saratoga Race Course, Race 12, $500,000 H. Allen Jerkens Memorial Stakes, put up time 5:30 p.m. ET
The H. Allen Jerkens for 3-year-olds sprinting seven furlongs is at all times one of many premier races of the Saratoga season and this 12 months is definitely no exception. The race has drawn a stellar 11-horse area and the factor that makes this race a monumental problem for handicappers is that it options quick horses from everywhere in the nation. Will probably be a face-off between horses each stretching out from six furlongs and horses that shall be chopping again in distance after competing in longer races. When confronted with this type of alternative on this race, historical past tells us the sprinters or one-turn horses could have the benefit. This isn’t a knock towards horses like #3 Home Product or #6 Timberlake, aside from to say this shall be a tricky spot for them to win. New York’s different Grade 1 nearly-equivalent spot is the Grade 1 Woody Stephens Stakes Offered by Mohegan Solar again in June, which this 12 months was run at Saratoga. That race is an efficient place to search for the runners that must be the horses to beat within the Jerkens Memorial.
The Woody Stephens was gained by the juggernaut within the division to date, #8 E-book’em Danno, who additionally has gained stakes at Tampa Bay Downs and Monmouth Park and simply missed by a head when ending second within the one mile $1.5 million Saudi Derby this season. He has proven no weaknesses but towards this caliber of horses and the seven-furlong distance hits him proper between the eyes. The primary menace to E-book’em Danno on Saturday is more likely to come from a horse he’s already crushed that’s searching for revenge, #5 Prince of Monaco, who ships throughout the nation once more for coach Bob Baffert after settling for second by a half-length within the Woody Stephens. Prince of Monaco has tactical velocity however principally misplaced all probability when fully worn out in the beginning within the Woody Stephens. He then rallied from too far again to lose regardless of a gallant effort and might undoubtedly flip the tables given a good begin. Lastly, the potential upsetter to be careful for is the lightly-raced #2 Converse Straightforward for coach Todd Pletcher, who’s 2-for-2 in his profession together with a highly-touted January maiden win at Gulfstream Park and a workmanlike victory final time in his return from a layoff in what regarded like a non-fully-revved-up prep race to get him prepared for a giant effort Saturday.
The Play: Guess large on #5 Prince of Monaco (4-1) to win and play him in three-way exacta and trifecta bins with #2 Converse Straightforward (8-1), and #8 E-book’em Danno (7-2).
Saratoga Race Course, Race 13, $1,250,000 DraftKings Travers Stakes, put up time 6:10 p.m. ET
The Travers Stakes is the “Mid-Summer time Derby” that has attracted lots of the principals within the 3-year-old division amongst its eight-horse area. The outcomes of this race will go a protracted approach to figuring out a number of the fundamental contenders on this fall’s $7 million Longines Breeders’ Cup Traditional. The 2024 Travers can also be notable as a result of it can characteristic the standout main 3-year-old filly, #1 Thorpedo Anna, who looms a reliable menace. Thorpedo Anna is available in on a four-race graded stakes-winning streak together with three Grade 1 wins, with two of these victories, the DK Horse Acorn Stakes and the Teaching Membership American Oaks, coming at Saratoga. The massive query shall be if she will be able to repeat these kinds of efforts towards colts and if she will be as efficient on the longer Travers distance of 1 ¼ miles, particularly whereas beneath the tempo stress she is more likely to endure from a number of velocity horses within the race. These are large “what ifs.”
A safer guess within the Travers is to aspect with the top-rung 3-year-old males within the area like #7 Dornoch, who gained each the Belmont Stakes and the NYRA Bets Haskell Stakes, #8 Fierceness, who gained the Curlin Florida Derby and Saratoga’s Grade 2 Jim Dandy Stakes Offered by Mohegan Solar, and #2 Sierra Leone, who gained the Grade 1 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes and simply missed by a nostril when second within the Kentucky Derby Offered by Woodford Reserve. With these three to select from as horses that may defeat Thorpedo Anna, the perfect choices shall be Dornoch, who has blossomed into this 12 months’s prime 3-year-old, and Sierra Leone, who’s the nearer of the group who could have an opportunity to profit essentially the most from the 1 ¼-mile distance with all of the added tempo Thorpedo Anna brings to the desk. On this situation, the horse to beat shall be Sierra Leone, who shall be flying within the stretch and at last in a position to get the perfect of a recreation Dornoch in a decent end.
The Play: Guess #2 Sierra Leone (7-2) to win and play her in exacta and trifecta bins together with #1 Thorpedo Anna (3-1), and #7 Dornoch (5-2).
