With 19 video games remaining after seeing their nine-game profitable streak snapped on Sunday, the Mets head to Toronto all sq. with Atlanta within the wild-card race.
The Mets are a slight betting favourite in Monday’s sequence opener (7:07 p.m. ET) as Tylor Megill is about to tackle Chris Bassitt.
Here’s a breakdown of the matchup, together with a prediction and choose in what needs to be a high-scoring recreation.
Mets vs. Blue Jays odds
Group | Moneyline | Run Line | Whole |
---|---|---|---|
Mets | -135 | -1.5 (+120) | o9 (-110) |
Blue Jays | +114 | +1.5 (-142) | u9 (-110) |
Mets vs. Blue Jays prediction
Whereas the Blue Jays have been one of many least worthwhile betting sides in baseball this season, their new-look offense has quietly begun to place up regular outcomes for the reason that commerce deadline, offering a tricky matchup for Megill.
Vladimir Guerrero’s dominance has stolen many of the headlines, however a number of different batters have additionally trended into higher type down the stretch.
Constant enjoying time for youthful gamers comparable to rookie second baseman Spencer Horwitz has additionally led to improved offensive splits.
During the last month, Toronto ranks first with a wRC+ of 135 in opposition to right-handed pitching, and second in OPS at .831. The Jays rank eighth with a 0.50 BB/Okay in that span and eighth in hard-hit price.
Megill has made two begins since getting back from a robust minor-league stint. He had a superb outing versus the lowly White Sox however struggled his final day out versus Boston, permitting three runs throughout 4 innings.
In his final 35 2/3 innings, Megill has pitched to an ERA of 6.11, with an xFIP of 4.11 and a Okay-BB% of 15.6. He has been hard-hit 43% of the time in that span.
He’s more likely to have a brief leash in Monday’s opener with the Mets’ bullpen in stable form. It might make sense to see somebody like Jose Butto enter the sport as soon as Megill has labored twice by way of the order.
The Mets have confirmed that Jeff McNeil is about to overlook the remainder of the season, which leaves a significant gap within the lineup. Nonetheless, they need to have an important probability of doing injury in a matchup versus the right-handed Bassitt.
During the last month, the Mets have hit to a wRC+ of 112 in opposition to righties and maintain the seventh-best hard-hit price in that span.
Bassitt has struggled to an ERA of 5.93 throughout his final 10 begins and has been hard-hit 40% of the time. He holds the bottom Pitching+ score of his profession (97) and has seen his chase and whiff charges drop considerably this season.
There aren’t lots of established relievers left within the Jays’ bullpen, and the outcomes have been as anticipated of late with an ERA of 4.35 and 4.21 xFIP over the past month.
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Mets vs. Blue Jays choose
There appears to be like to be lots of methods this recreation might break open, with each offenses in nice type and neither starter trying overly convincing.
A betting whole of 9 runs appears to be like a contact too low, and I see worth in backing the over at something higher than -120.
Decide: Over 9 runs (-105, BetMGM)