One of many richest stakes races happening in North America this weekend is the $500,000 Woodbine Oaks Introduced by Stella Artois at Woodbine. Held at 1 1/8 miles on the all-weather Tapeta Footings major observe, the Woodbine Oaks is open to 3-year-old fillies foaled in Canada, and 15 fillies, together with one also-eligible contender, had been entered to battle for the profitable purse.
On paper, the race appears completely broad open. There isn’t a any standout favourite, and you may make a case for loads of the fillies to vie for victory. However after analyzing the entries, we suggest #4 Kin’s Concerto because the probably winner, regardless that she’s but to cross the end line first in a race.
Kin’s Concerto’s lone victory got here in her debut sprinting three-quarters of a mile on the Woodbine Tapeta floor. On that event, she devoured up floor from off the tempo to complete second by 1 1/4 lengths, and when the winner was disqualified for interfering with the third-place finisher, Kin’s Concerto was elevated to first place.
Kin’s Concerto has subsequently carried out properly with out successful in three straight begins whereas going through a wide range of situations. In a $75,000 allowance-optional claiming on Gulfstream Park turf course, Kin’s Concerto completed second behind next-out Grade 3 Herecomesthebride Stakes winner Pounce. This was adopted by a third-place end in a $50,000 allowance-optional claimer on the Woodbine major observe, a race from which runner-up Prepared for Shirl returned to win her subsequent begin.
Most not too long ago, Kin’s Concerto stretched out past one mile for the primary time in a 1 1/16-mile allowance-optional claiming race on the Woodbine Tapeta floor. After score in midfield behind sluggish quarter-mile fractions of :24.53, :49.92, and 1:15.42, Kin’s Concerto discovered herself boxed in alongside the within, ready for racing room whereas eventual winner Remaining Draft made a daring advance on the surface. Kin’s Concerto did discover racing room down the homestretch, however because the tempo accelerated, she couldn’t fairly reel in Remaining Draft, ending second by a head.
Kin’s Concerto has since labored a quick five-eighths of a mile in :59.80 at Woodbine, suggesting she’s prepared to maneuver ahead within the Woodbine Oaks. It’s necessary to notice Kin’s Concerto has competed completely in races that aren’t restricted to Canadian-bred runners, so tackling a restricted stakes just like the Woodbine Oaks ought to go well with this daughter of Mendelssohn simply high-quality. Throw within the reality jockey Sofia Vives and coach Josie Carroll have received at a 26% charge teaming up collectively during the last two months per Brisnet statistics, and Kin’s Concerto looms as a formidable win risk within the Woodbine Oaks.
Our major betting technique for the Woodbine Oaks is straightforward: for the reason that discipline is giant and aggressive, the chances on Kin’s Concerto shouldn’t dip too low, and even a $10 win guess can yield a decent return on funding.
Nonetheless, bettors with extra capital to speculate must also think about enjoying Kin’s Concerto over #11 Struggle Painter within the exacta. If we are able to choose the highest two finishes on this powerful race, we’ll be in line for an attractive payday.
Struggle Painter was arguably the perfect filly within the 1 1/16-mile Princess Elizabeth Stakes on the Woodbine Tapeta major observe final fall. Dealing with fellow Canadian-foaled fillies, Struggle Painter raced broad all through, launched a giant rally to grab command within the stretch, after which failed by a head to carry off the rally of ground-saving longshot #1 Inudation. In accordance with the Equibase GPS consequence chart, Struggle Painter ran 18 toes (about two lengths) farther than Inudation on account of her exterior journey.
Struggle Painter not too long ago posted a half-length victory in an unrestricted allowance-optional claimer racing 1 1/16 miles on Woodbine’s Tapeta floor. She’s posted quick exercises since then and will produce a extremely aggressive run for coach Kevin Attard, who has received two of the final three editions of the Woodbine Oaks.
It’s tempting to field Kin’s Concerto and Struggle Painter within the exacta so we are able to money in the event that they run 1-2 in both order. However when it comes to Brisnet Pace rankings, Kin’s Concerto is slightly quicker than Struggle Painter, and Kin’s Concerto’s inserting towards graded stakes winner Pounce through the winter at Gulfstream cements our perception that Kin’s Concerto is the probably winner. We’ll take a stand and play our exacta just one means, maximizing the potential return on funding.
Wagering Technique on a $10 Price range
$10 to win on #4 Kin’s Concerto
What to say on the betting window: Woodbine, Race 9, $10 to win on #4 Kin’s Concerto
Wagering Technique on a $30 Price range
$20 to win on #4 Kin’s Concerto
What to say on the betting window: Woodbine, Race 9, $20 to win on #4 Kin’s Concerto
$10 exacta: 4 with 11
What to say on the betting window: Woodbine, Race 9, $10 exacta 4 with 11
Good luck, and benefit from the race!
