Friday, November 15, 2024
HomeHorse RacingMatt Chapman's Saturday's ITV Racing picks

Matt Chapman’s Saturday’s ITV Racing picks

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Matt Chapman’s Saturday ITV Racing Ideas

13:45 Ascot – Rohaan
14:00 York – Blue For You (each-way)
14:12 Newmarket – Arisaig (each-way)
14:20 Ascot – Quddwah
14:35 York – Rogue Lightning (each-way)
14:50 Newmarket – First Conquest (each-way)
15:10 York – Kingfisher King (each-way)
15:25 Newmarket – Historic Fact
15:45 York – Al Qareem
16:00 Newmarket – Carrytheone
16:35 Newmarket – Inisherin

*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.

A loopy Saturday of excessive class racing the place there may be barely a second to assume. ITV Racing is in all places, beginning right here with a handicap over 5f. That is vast open. King’s Lynn and ROHAAN are two dangerously properly handicapped horses who may rating at any second. I tipped up the previous final time on the synthetic and he ran a belter however that was over 6f. Rohaan may also be higher over 6f, however that is the primary time he’s been rated beneath 100 (he races off 99) since scoring at this monitor in April 2021, so perhaps that is the second he’ll strike. A run at Newmarket lately urged there may be nonetheless some hearth in his stomach for Dave Evans. David Probert would be the man on prime attempting to come back late and quick.

ITV York begins right here with a handicap over 1m. Elnajmm might be on an excellent mark however I’ve to take him on again on turf. I’ll go each-way BLUE FOR YOU for David O’Meara and Danny Tudhope. My choice has a great deal of good kind at this monitor off increased marks and goes on any floor. He’s been horrible the final two runs which suggests his mark is how right down to 95, however he began this season with a advantageous fourth right here in a giant discipline off 100 so he actually ought to have an each-way likelihood if on tune.

A 3yo handicap over 7f. ARISAIG appears to have an each-way likelihood for Charlie Johnston and Neill Callan. The daughter of Harry Angel has raced loads over a 1m this season together with when eighth within the Sandringham at Royal Ascot when give a ‘Jamie Spencer’ experience from off the tempo. Nevertheless, she scored over this journey at Lingfield and there’s no purpose why she received’t run an honest race right here.

 

The Group 2 Summer season Mile for older horses. QUDDWAH is bidding to take care of an unbeaten file which has seen him land three on the trot for Simon & Ed Crisford. He was spectacular at this monitor final time when he had the Queen Anne third Maljoom behind him and if he’s nonetheless enhancing he has each likelihood of scoring below Callum Shepherd.

A Listed race over 5f. I’m very pleased to play ROGUE LIGHTNING every approach for Danny Tudhope and Tom Clover. The Group 1 Abbaye fifth hasn’t been pretty much as good this time period as he was final season, and he was down the sector within the massive 5f dash at Royal Ascot. Nevertheless, when sixth within the Temple Stakes at Haydock he confirmed a glimmer of kind from off the tempo and he certainly shall be onerous to maintain out the body on the very least.

A handicap for 3yos over 1m. I’d guess FIRST CONQUEST has extra to present for Charlie Appleby and William Buick with a primary time hood in place. The Wooden Ditton winner flopped subsequent time at York however was again to some kind when final seen and after three runs ought to have extra enchancment. Steady does properly on this race. An each-way likelihood.

One of many massive betting races of the season within the John Smith’s Cup Handicap over an prolonged 1m2f. Boy that is onerous! Marhaba the Chap may pop up at a value, however my each-way choice is KINGFISHER KING for William Haggas and Oisin Orr. I presume this horse’s handicap mark has been saved for this race as he goes first day out off a mark of 96. That is perhaps beneficiant as he’s frivolously raced and began off in handicaps off 100 and was dropped 1lb when final seen for a defeat over 1m6f. It’s attainable he simply didn’t keep that day. It’s an enormous ask, however Haggas’s secure is in nice kind and he ought to be ending off properly.

Up in school right here for the Group 2 Superlative Stakes for children over 7f. Like father like son? Dubawi landed this prize in 2004 and now his son ANCIENT TRUTH tries to take action in 2024. Has landed a few Newmarket novice occasions in type and no purpose to not assume he is perhaps excellent.

A Group 3 for older horses over 1m6f. AL QAREEM is a humorous horse in that Im undecided precisely what journey he needs. Nevertheless, he hasn’t had a lot likelihood to win a race of late and now he will get that likelihood for Karl Burke and Sam James. He ran properly sufficient at this monitor when fourth behind Giavellotto within the Yorkshire Cup and the type of his two wins at Ascot and Chester final time period must be adequate to land this prize.

All the time a cracking handicap within the Bunbury Cup over 7f. It’s boring however CARRYTHEONE shall be very onerous to kick out the body after two current advantageous runs for Michael Bell. A win right here two runs in the past was a advantageous effort and his third at Royal Ascot within the Buckingham Palace was even higher as he didn’t get a transparent run. Ryan Moore is on tp this 7f specialist.

The function of the day within the Group 1 July Cup over 6f. I can’t consider any purpose when INISHERIN received’t blow these away if he runs to kind. The 2000 Guineas sixth was wonderful within the Sandy Lane at Haydock and even higher within the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot. The older 5f/6f sprinters are from a classic bunch and this appears up for the taking for a younger up-and-coming speedster and Kevin Ryan’s inmate is simply that. Tom Eaves takes the experience and he ought to get a beautiful lead into the end with loads of tempo up entrance.

So better of luck and pray for Yeeehaaas. Yo hear me Paddy?

Matt Chapman’s Saturday ITV Racing Ideas

13:45 Ascot – Rohaan
14:00 York – Blue For You (each-way)
14:12 Newmarket – Arisaig (each-way)
14:20 Ascot – Quddwah
14:35 York – Rogue Lightning (each-way)
14:50 Newmarket – First Conquest (each-way)
15:10 York – Kingfisher King (each-way)
15:25 Newmarket – Historic Fact
15:45 York – Al Qareem
16:00 Newmarket – Carrytheone
16:35 Newmarket – Inisherin

*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.

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