Matt Chapman’s Saturday Breeders Cup ideas
19:00 Vahva (each-way)
19:41 Star Of Thriller
20:21 Thorpedo Anna
21:01 Rebels Romance (each-way)
21:41 Sierra Leone (each-way)
22:25 Struggle Like Goddess (each-way)
23:05 Raging Torrent (each-way)
23:45 Notable Speech
00:25 Seize The Gray
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to vary.
It’s right here everybody. Breeders’ Cup 2024 and the day Metropolis of Troy tries to beat the world of horse racing on dust. Each Breeders’ Cup race is dwell on Sky Sports activities Racing and I can’t look forward to it to get underneath means. Protection begins with the Grade 1 Filly & Mare Dash on the dust over 7f.
The one I like right here is VAHVA each-way for Cherie DeVaux and Irad Ortiz Jr. Vahva was in nice type this season successful twice at Churchill Downs earlier than getting caught on the rail behind Society and Scylla within the Grade 1 Ballerina at Saratoga. My choice is healthier than that type suggests.
Now the Grade 1 Turf Dash. A lot velocity on right here and a few a lot beloved performers. The overall gist is that you just want velocity up entrance at Del Mar, however there’s a lot right here I ponder if a more in-depth can fall in. At lengthy odds I’m joyful to likelihood STAR OF MYSTERY for Charlie Appleby and William Buick. My filly received’t be that acquainted to lots of you, because the final time she ran within the UK was in August 2023 at York when down the sector within the Lowther received by Aid Rally.
On that type she has no likelihood, however since then she’s acquired higher and higher in Dubai and Stateside she took a Grade 3 at Saratoga earlier than chasing residence Future is Now in a Grade 2 at Keeneland. She was given hopeless journey that day and will have received. She may simply fly residence late for a spot or extra. Dangerous wager however I’ll take an opportunity. Keep in mind she has a mighty third to Cogburn in a Grade 1 in June so she’s not misplaced.
Subsequent up is the Grade 1 Distaff for fillies and mares over 1m1f. This received’t take lengthy. THORPEDO ANNA must be a very good factor right here and one for doubles and trebles. Educated by Ken McPeek, Anna is ridden by Brian Hernandez and has received six of her eight begins and chased residence Fierceness within the Travers Stakes at Saratoga in August. That’s prime dust type and she or he’s since certain again to attain in Grade 1 firm at Park. Very onerous to cease.
I’m going to be very boring within the Grade 1 Turf over 1m4f. REBEL’S ROMANCE landed this prize in 2022 and he’s simply pretty much as good now having landed 4 races in 2024 – together with in Qatar, Dubai, Hong Kong and Germany – and completed a superb third within the King George at Ascot behind Goliath.
His draw may have been slightly higher, however he’ll slot in and he stays properly and actually ought to go very properly once more for William Buick and Charlie Appleby. Simply appears to be like too good for me and never a loopy quick value. Shahryar may go properly at longer odds for these on the lookout for one thing each-way.
That is it individuals. The Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Basic on dust over 1m2f. It’s all about the perfect on turf in Metropolis of Troy v the perfect on dust in Fierceness. However I’m taking them each on, for all that every part in me desires Metropolis of Troy to win. I’ll accomplish that with SIERRA LEONE who for me is a cracking each-way proposition.
Stateside individuals snigger at us Sierra Leone supporters. They are saying he’s primarily a twicer and doesn’t put all of it in. Everybody has given up on Sierra Leone. Not me!
Sierra Leone is a Grade 1 winner who was third within the Travers, third within the Belmont and second within the Kentucky Derby. He’s at lengthy odds and will get a quick tempo to run at. He may simply fall in. Lets hope so – except Troy is in entrance of him with ten yards to run!
Proper again right down to earth with the Grade 1 Filly & Mare Turf over 1m3f. That is broad open. I’m hoping an area goes properly in WAR LIKE GODDESS who tackled Auguste Rodin within the Turf final 12 months and that is a lot simpler, though be warned she’s a unusual robust traveller that doesn’t at all times discover. Struggle Like Goddess is skilled by Invoice Mott and ridden by Junior Alvarado, who seems like he ought to play for Tottenham!
My choice is healthier than when crushed by Far Bridge at Belmont on the Massive A and is more likely to present her greatest in opposition to larger high quality and a powerful gallop. I’ll threat her each-way in opposition to Cinderella’s Dream and Content material, who must get again to her Yorkshire Oaks type.
It’s time for the Grade 1 dust Dash over 6f. That is tough! I’m joyful to play RAGING TORRENT each-way for Doug O’Neill and Antonio Fresu. Calmly raced, my hope is getting higher and higher and is on a 4 timer after two victories at Churchill Downs and a Grade 2 at this observe. Typically goes out in entrance so will probably be weak to tempo stress but when he will get a simple lead will probably be onerous to peg again.
One of many races of the night time within the Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Mile. Ramatuelle got here out late and certainly NOTABLE SPEECH will outclass the sector for Charlie Appleby and William Buick. The 2000 Guineas hero appears to be like made for this observe after his wins at Kempton earlier within the marketing campaign and you may forgive him a flop in mushy floor within the Moulin. Ought to come late and quick with a ending kick.
Breeders’ Cup closes for 2024 with the Grade 1 Dust Mile. SEIZE THE GREY must bounce out on the entrance finish and try to make all which is rarely straightforward, however when he will get on the lead he’s onerous to move, as he confirmed within the Grade 1 Pennsylvania Derby when final seen on the Parx in September. That was an important effort and it’s not unattainable he can do the identical right here underneath Jaime Torres for D Wayne Lukas.
So better of luck and pray for Yeeehaaas. You hear me Paddy?
Matt Chapman’s Saturday Breeders Cup ideas
19:00 Vahva (each-way)
19:41 Star Of Thriller
20:21 Thorpedo Anna
21:01 Rebels Romance (each-way)
21:41 Sierra Leone (each-way)
22:25 Struggle Like Goddess (each-way)
23:05 Raging Torrent (each-way)
23:45 Notable Speech
00:25 Sunday Seize The Gray
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct on the time of publishing however topic to vary.
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