Matt Chapman’s Friday ITV Racing ideas
13:05 Chepstow – LE MILOS
13:20 Kempton – WEST BALBOA
13:40 Chepstow – NIETZSCHE HAS
13:55 Kempton – BALLYBURN
14:10 Chepstow – BILL BAXTER (each-way)
14:30 Kempton – MARTATOR
14:50 Chepstow – IWILLDOIT (each-way)
15:08 Kempton – FRERO BANBOU
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to vary.
ITV Racing is again Friday from Chepstow and Kempton, beginning right here with a handicap chase over practically 2m4f. That is tough and a few horses have a bit to show. LE MILOS has the again class and possibly that is his probability to bounce again to profitable kind for coach Dan and jockey Harry Skelton. All the way down to a mark of 141 now, Le Milos landed the previous Hennessy at Newbury off 146 again in 2022 however has failed to attain since. He wasn’t disgraced, although, at that observe final time and this can be a massive alternative.
Kempton on ITV will get underneath approach right here with a mares’ handicap hurdle over an prolonged 3m. WEST BALBOA has been hopeless this season each over fences and hurdles however I’ll give him yet one more probability underneath Heidi Palin who takes off 7lb. A handicap mark of 141 is completely workable for the Dan Skelton runner and with the declare she will go off 134 – it simply relies upon whether or not she’s gone on the recreation or not. If not, she will outclass this mob.
Right here’s a Grade 2 Juvenile Hurdle over 2m. NIETZSCHE HAS has to provide weight away to those however the colt is likely to be as much as the duty having tackled Grade 1 firm in France together with when second at Auteuil in November to the very helpful Sain d’Esprit. Marcel Rolland trains with Ludovic Philipperon on prime and he can journey so don’t fear about that! I’m instructed this horse goes cease stud straight after this race – who can blame him!
The Grade 2 Wayward Lad Novices’ Chase over 2m. What a race. Sir Gino was good within the Combating Fifth however this can be some check to chase down BALLYBURN on fencing debut although the journey is definitely shorter than his greatest for the latter. The Willie Mullins-trained incredible Gallagher Novices’ Hurdle winner from the Cheltenham Competition additionally has chasing expertise and will get a straightforward lead underneath Paul Townend.
A handicap hurdle over practically 3m. BILL BAXTER is best often called a chaser however was hurdling final time without work this mark of 121 at Uttoxeter and was not disgraced when second to Icare Allen. The winner was chucked in that day however the effort nonetheless recommended the Warren Greatrex runner can do one thing off this mark ands Daire Davis as soon as once more takes off 7lb. An eachway probability.
A handicap chase over 2m. There ought to be some gallop on right here and whereas he’s banging up the handicap MARTATOR would possibly simply come by means of strongly to take his profitable run to 6 for Venetia Williams. I anticipate Charlie Deutsch to drop out the again and sit chilly whereas the early gallop is on. He’s as much as 151 now and he profitable run began off 118 so it will be an incredible effort if he scores.
The massive betting race of the day within the Welsh Grand Nationwide over an prolonged 3m6f. It appears loopy to tip a horse who is sort of 12 to land this however I’m going with the previous hero of this race IWILLDOIT for Sam Thomas and Callum Pritchard, who takes off a really priceless 7lb.
The previous boy is all the way down to 147, having landed this prize on 140 in 2021and been third in 2023 odd 153. Which means mathematically he has a incredible probability and he stays and jumps and goes in gentle floor. Not all of those will end however Iwilldoit ought to and I feel he’s bought a strong eachway probability.
A handicap chase over 3m. FRERO BANBOU has just lately been stepped up in journey and he would possibly properly get loads of these off the bridle at this distance after his wonderful success within the Rehearsal Chase at Newcastle final time. He’s one other for Venetia Williams and Charlie Deutsch who hopefully can pop away on the entrance finish. He has gone up from 127 to 134 for that success however has been greater within the handicap up to now and possibly staying is his factor now.
So better of luck and pray for festive Yeeehaaas. You hear me Paddy?
Matt Chapman’s ITV Racing ideas
13:05 Chepstow – LE MILOS
13:20 Kempton – WEST BALBOA
13:40 Chepstow – NIETZSCHE HAS
13:55 Kempton – BALLYBURN
14:10 Chepstow – BILL BAXTER (each-way)
14:30 Kempton – MARTATOR
14:50 Chepstow – IWILLDOIT (each-way)
15:08 Kempton – FRERO BANBOU
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct on the time of publishing however topic to vary.
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