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HomeRunningKoku Gakuin Goes For the Triple Crown

Koku Gakuin Goes For the Triple Crown

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The most important street race of the 12 months is days away, with the Hakone Ekiden coming into its second century on Jan. 2 and three. 20 college groups and one choose staff race 217.1 km in 10 legs from central Tokyo to the mountains close to Mt. Fuji and again, with Nippon TV broadcasting the entire thing reside and nationwide to an viewers within the tens of hundreds of thousands. TVer is streaming Day One right here beginning at 7:50 a.m. native time on Jan. 2, and Day Two right here at 7:50 a.m. once more. In the event you’ve bought a VPN you ought to be good to go. JRN might be on-site on the Day One end line and Day Two begin line and might be performing some protection on @JRNLive.

At October’s Izumo Ekiden and November’s Nationwide College Ekiden Koku Gakuin College, Komazawa College and Aoyama Gakuin College went 1-2-3, and the principle query at Hakone is whether or not it will be the identical order once more. Komazawa is the heavyweight legacy college of the three, with 8 wins and 18 high 3 finishes at Hakone within the final 25 years underneath government head coach Hiroaki Oyagi. AGU has gone by an arc that noticed it make the 10-deep podium underneath head coach Susumu Hara for the primary time in 2010, win for the primary time in 2015, and rating 7 wins and 9 high 3 finishes since then. Coached by Komazawa grad Yasuhiro Maeda, KGU made the Hakone podium for the primary time in 2011 and has solely made the highest 3 as soon as, in 2020.

However this season KGU seems to be prefer it’s going by the identical type of development that AGU did, scoring wins at each Izumo and Nationals, and coming in to Hakone with the strongest staff on paper. A win can be not solely its first however would make it the sixth college, alongside Komazawa, AGU, Daito Bunka College, Juntendo College and Waseda College, to win all three ekidens in a single season. What are its probabilities? On paper it is one of the best all-around staff. It has 9 stable half marathoners led by 4th-year Ayumu Yamamoto and Osaka Marathon winner Kiyoto Hirabayashi, and with 2nd-years Kosei Atomura and Hiromichi Nonaka each at 28:30 or higher for 10000 m it has sufficient folks to subject a superb staff. And the momentum to make it occur. If there’s any crack in its armor it is perhaps an absence of depth in alternates if any of its large names aren’t on.

AGU is nearly even, with higher common 5000 m and 10000 m bests and 10 good half marathoners. It would not have the identical front-end power as KGU, 4th-year Hiroki Wakabayashi being its quickest at 1:01:25, however with 3 males underneath 28 minutes for 10000 m and other people like 4th-year Akimu Nomura, 13:33.88 for 5000 m, in reserve it is fairly laborious to see AGU faltering. And possibly greater than some other college besides Teikyo College, coach Hara actually brings all the pieces to Hakone. AGU’s sum there may be at all times larger than no matter it is finished within the different elements of the season.

Komazawa is essentially the most completed staff over the half marathon distance, with a 10-man common of 1:02:01 led by captain Kotaro Shinohara, the fastest-ever Japanese-born collegiate half marathoner at 1:00:11. Below new head coach Atsushi Fujita Komazawa actually centered on the half marathon this season, that means that quite a lot of its folks do not have 10000 m bests according to their precise capability. In that manner Komazawa’s rating would not replicate the place it is actually at. Quite a bit will rely upon how its 2 greatest non-half marathoners, Keita Sato and Shunsuke Kuwata, do, Third-year Sato having missed Izumo and Nationals as he recovered from an damage earlier within the 12 months and 1st-year Kuwata stable on the monitor however missing at Nationals.

Excluding the Ivy League Choose Staff at Izumo, Soka College, Waseda College and Josai College had been the following 3 groups at each Izumo and Nationals. 4th-placer Soka is ranked 4th this time too, Josai eighth and Waseda twelfth. Soka appears fairly prone to maintain that place and Waseda to do lots higher than twelfth, making Josai the query mark. Third at Hakone in 2024, to date this season it has seemed to be down on power relative to final 12 months’s roster, particularly with the commencement of uphill Fifth Stage CR breaker Yuito Yamamoto. Prime 10 is a protected wager, however how excessive?
#5-ranked Chuo College has implausible monitor credentials, with 10-man averages of 13:42.66 and 28:15.62, nevertheless it lacks in half marathon improvement. That was clear at October’s Yosenkai half marathon qualifying race the place it was within the backside half of the qualifiers at sixth. Based mostly on that it will be attempting to hold on to a spot within the high 10 towards Daito Bunka College, Chuo Gakuin College, final 12 months’s 4th-placer Toyo College and others to earn a visit to Izumo and a return journey to Hakone subsequent season. Toyo’s luck relies upon lots on whether or not injury-prone 4th-year Kosuke Ishida is in a single piece.

Waseda apart, the following tier of faculties might be attempting to knock Chuo and others off the rostrum. Teikyo and Hosei College have a historical past of outperforming what they seem like on paper, with head coaches Takayuki Nakano and Tomoo Tsubota each excelling at peaking for Hakone like AGU’s Hara. #15-ranked Nittai College was good on the Yosenkai qualifier, ending 4th, however each Tokyo Kokusai College and Juntendo College had been manner under their rankings, TKU simply eighth and Juntendo squeezing by by 1 second in tenth.

Ranked solely 18th and nineteenth, Rikkyo College and Senshu College went 1-2 on the Yosenkai. Circumstances had been scorching there, so that may not translate to success at Hakone. However Rikkyo making the highest 10 for the primary time since 1962 in Komazawa grad Yusuke Takabayashi‘s first season as head coach can be an enormous second, and likewise for 1939 Hakone winner Senshu, which solely has 2 high 10 finishes within the final 30 years.

Nihon College, Yamanashi Gakuin College and Kanagawa College make up the again finish of the sector and can most likely spend most of Day Two attempting to beat the white sash cutoffs for falling too far behind the chief. The Kanto Area Scholar Alliance staff is made up of top-placing people on the Yosenkai from colleges that do not qualify as a staff. It has a superb lineup this 12 months, adequate to be ranked sixteenth, however most years it would not reside as much as its rating, one thing missing within the staff chemistry and motivation that makes the ekiden greater than only a sequential collection of half marathons.

Hakone is at all times one of the best street racing of the 12 months, actually extra the spotlight of the 2024 season than the beginning of the 2025 season. Here is to a different stellar race in its one hundred and first version, no matter occurs.

© 2024 Brett Larner, all rights reserved

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