Every week this school soccer season, BetFTW will check out the 2023 Heisman Trophy race and break down the contenders. Examine again each Tuesday as the most effective school soccer gamers within the nation jockey for place with each oddsmakers and bettors. All odds through BetMGM.
The Heisman Trophy race might have formally started in Week 0, however Florida State put up an absolute dud towards Georgia Tech in Dublin and SMU regarded utterly discombobulated towards Nevada.
So right here we’re. Week 1. A full slate of video games and quite a few contenders who ought to put up huge numbers on Saturday (until, in fact, they play on Thursday, Friday or Sunday as a result of the NFL graciously gave school followers a weekend to themselves).
You understand the deal. We’re operating by the top-10 contenders by the percentages — and the percentages fluctuate for quite a few causes. It might be a participant sees an enormous enhance as a result of they carried out nicely, or as a result of a bunch of bettors dumped a heap of cash on them. We’re not right here to litigate who ought to have the most effective odds of successful. We’re simply what the numbers say.
Let’s get into it.
10. Penn State QB Drew Allar, Missouri QB Brady Cook dinner, Oklahoma QB Jackson Arnold (+3500)
Odds Final Week (Opening Odds):
- Drew Allar: +3500 (+5000)
- Brady Cook dinner: +3500 (+2000)
- Jackson Arnold: +3500 (+2500)
Drew Allar has a brand new offensive coordinator in Andy Kotelnicki, who beforehand turned Kansas’ Jalon Daniels right into a Heisman contender in his personal proper and developed a system that was capable of succeed with Jason Bean and Cole Ballard when the Jayhawks’ starter was injured. If Penn State begins placing up factors, Allar’s candidacy will get fascinating in a rush. First, the No. 8 Nittany Lions must get previous West Virginia this weekend.
Mizzou’s Cook dinner and Oklahoma’s Arnold get a lot softer openers towards Murray State and Temple, respectively — although in Arnold’s case, following Dillon Gabriel as QB1 for the Sooners isn’t precisely essentially the most enviable place.
9. Colorado QB Shedeur Sanders, Kansas QB Jalon Daniels (+3000)
Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports activities
Odds Final Week (Opening Odds):
- Shedeur Sanders: +3000 (+2500)
- Jalon Daniels: +3000 (+4000)
Talking of Daniels, each indication out of Lawrence is that the Jayhawks’ star is wholesome and able to lead the Large 12 contender. In that case, he’s a legit Heisman candidate as a dual-threat QB — that’s if head coach Lance Leipold is OK with him retaining the ball a ton given his historical past of again accidents. There’s no plan B for Kansas, both. If it’s not Daniels beneath middle it’s both Ballard, who was QB3 final 12 months, or freshman Isaiah Marshall stepping in.
As for Sanders, it’s put up or shut up time. He actually has the expertise to win this award, however nobody is even coming into the Heisman dialog with lower than eight wins. Which is double what Colorado completed with final 12 months.
8. Texas A&M QB Conner Weigman, Kansas State QB Avery Johnson (+2500)
Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports activities
Odds Final Week (Opening Odds):
- Conner Weigman: +2500 (+2000)
- Avery Johnson: +2500 (+5000)
Will Howard transferring to Ohio State solved a number of issues for Kansas State, which believes it has a generational expertise in Avery Johnson. The Wichita native posted a 91.3 QBR with practically 800 yards of whole offense and 12 whole touchdowns final season on zero interceptions as Howard’s QB2.
Texas A&M changing Jimbo Fisher with Mike Elko ought to assist Weigman’s case after how he helped the rise of Riley Leonard at Duke final 12 months. That’s to say nothing of the very fact the Aggies have arguably the softest schedule of any SEC contender.
7. Notre Dame QB Riley Leonard, LSU QB Garrett Nussmeier (+2000)
John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports activities
Odds Final Week (Opening Odds):
- Riley Leonard: +2000 (+2000)
- Garrett Nussmeier: +2000 (+1800)
Leonard has additionally moved on from Duke, touchdown with Marcus Freeman’s Notre Dame squad because the inheritor to Sam Hartman’s offense. The Irish must be excellent to make the School Soccer Playoff as an unbiased with out an computerized bid accessible, which is able to instantly tie into Leonard’s Heisman marketing campaign.
Nussmeier, in the meantime, has a fair harder job stepping in for reigning Heisman-winner Jayden Daniels at LSU. The final time a college produced back-to-back Heisman QBs was Kyler Murray (2018) and Baker Mayfield (2017) with Oklahoma.
6. Tennessee QB Nico Iamaleava (+1500)
Odds Final Week (Opening Odds):
No Tennessee participant has ever gained the Heisman. Not Manning. Not Majors. Not Shuler. Iamaleava, a redshirt freshman and former five-star recruit out of Lengthy Seaside, California will look to finish that streak for good after successful Citrus Bowl MVP final 12 months.
5. Miami (Fla.) QB Cam Ward, Ohio State QB Will Howard (+1400)
Odds Final Week (Opening Odds):
- Cam Ward: +2000 (+2000)
- Will Howard: +1400 (+1400)
Cam Ward has gone coast to-coast. After an eye-opening marketing campaign with Washington State final season, he bolted for Miami (Fla.) the place the Hurricanes want him to get this system into the playoff dialog for head coach Mario Cristobal to keep away from the new seat.
Howard left Kansas State for Ohio State and finds himself with extra instruments than ever because of the likes of Quinshon Judkins and TreVeyon Henderson. However these two tailbacks might simply find yourself stealing a little bit of his thunder in the case of the Heisman race.
4. Ole Miss QB Jaxson Dart (+1200)
(Photograph by Alex Slitz/Getty Photographs)
Odds Final Week (Opening Odds):
Dart is being requested to do extra with much less at Ole Miss this 12 months. After retaining his workforce afloat in each the SEC and the playoff hunt for many of 2023, Ole Miss fell off after a late-season loss to Alabama. With Judkins off to Ohio State, Dart’s efficiency has by no means been extra essential to Mississippi’s success.
3. Alabama QB Jalen Milroe, Texas QB Quinn Ewers (+1000)
John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports activities
Odds Final Week (Opening Odds):
- Jalen Milroe: +1000 (+800)
- Quinn Ewers: +1000 (+800)
Milroe and Ewers have been two of BetMGM’s FOUR (4!) co-favorites to open the betting market alongside Dillon Gabriel and Carson Beck, now they virtually really feel like worth wagers at this value. Virtually. I’d most likely wait till after Texas performs Michigan in Week 2 at a minimal — and with none severe competitors till Week 3 towards Wisconsin, I’d wait on Milroe, too.
2. Georgia QB Carson Beck (+750)
Odds Final Week (Opening Odds):
The beginning QB on the AP preseason No. 1 workforce is at all times going to be thought-about a Heisman favourite lately. However with Ladd McConkey and Brock Bowers off to the professionals, Beck must do greater than ever to indicate he’s worthy of the award in a 12 months when the race feels as up for grabs because it’s been in a fairly a while.
1. Oregon QB Dillon Gabriel (+600)
Odds Final Week (Opening Odds):
The dangerous information for Dillon Gabriel is that solely one preseason Heisman favourite has gained the award since 2009. The excellent news? It was Oregon’s Marcus Mariota. The even higher information? The Geese are going to offer Gabriel each alternative to place up absurd numbers this 12 months.
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