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CFP Projections, NCAAF Greatest Bets

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As a part of the work I do at Fantasy Life, I run a faculty soccer betting mannequin that predicts weekly spreads and scores, whereas additionally energy rating all 134 FBS groups and projecting the faculty soccer playoff bracket. What you’ll discover under is a weekly replace on one of the best of this week’s content material. I hope you discover it useful! 

Projected School Soccer Playoff Rankings 

There’s a main distinction between my projected bracket and the official one put out by the School Soccer Playoff choice committee — they aren’t projecting out for energy of schedule and remaining opponents; I’m. So whereas our brackets might look slightly completely different now, I’m hoping my model shall be what it seems like when the playoffs arrive.  

My Prime 4 Groups (Receiving Byes) 

  • Oregon 
  • Texas 
  • Miami 
  • Colorado 

First Spherical Video games 

No. 5 Georgia vs. No. 12 Boise State 

No. 6 Ohio State vs. No. 11 Indiana 

No. 7 Alabama vs. No. 10 Ole Miss 

No. 8 Penn St. vs. No. 9 Notre Dame 

The 4 Left Outdoors Wanting In 

Tennessee, Texas A&M, South Carolina, BYU 

My Prime 5 RB Prospects 

You may learn the complete breakdown on Fantasy Life, however right here’s a have a look at the place I’ve the highest faculty RBs ranked as Draft season creeps up on us. 

 

  1. Ashton Jeanty | Boise State | 5’8/217 
  1. Kaleb Johnson | Iowa | 6’0/225 
  1. Omarion Hampton | North Carolina | 5’11/220 
  1. Quinshon Judkins | Ohio State | 5’11/219 
  1. Jonah Coleman | Washington | 5’9/225 

The largest riser on this class is Iowa’s Johnson, who extremely didn’t even come into the marketing campaign because the Hawkeyes’ designated RB1. However Johnson seized management of that gig early, and has given the Hawkeyes an offensive id. He runs onerous, he has one-cut suddenness, and he boasts superb ft generally for a giant again. Johnson’s 5.1 yards per carry after contact trails on Jeanty (6.03) within the FBS. 

Kennesaw State vs. Florida Worldwide — One in every of My 10 Greatest Bets This Weekend 

You could find the remaining right here 

It has been a bizarre inaugural FBS season for Kennesaw State. The Owls began 0-6. Then, Kennesaw pulled one of many season’s most stunning upsets, beating Liberty as 27.5-point underdogs. Two weeks later, Kennesaw compelled double time beyond regulation at UTEP earlier than falling. 

The subsequent day, Kennesaw’s administration introduced HC Brian Bohannon had stepped down. Hours later, Bohannon tweeted that he hadn’t resigned, however moderately been fired. 5 contributors left the staff and entered the portal. The fanbase was upset. 

In its first sport after that, a house sport towards 7-2 Sam Houston final week, Bohannon was amongst a throng of followers that high-fived gamers on their manner into the stadium. Kennesaw gave Sam Houston all the pieces it might deal with, however ultimately misplaced its second-straight sport in time beyond regulation (23-17). 

For all of the weirdness across the program, for all of the controversy surrounding the Bohannon determination, and thru the participant defections, one factor is abundantly clear about Kennesaw: The staff continues to be taking part in onerous, and, over the previous month, has performed simply its finest ball of the season. 

This week, Kennesaw hosts 3-7 FIU. Kennesaw has a closely run-slanted offense. FIU has an excellent move protection, however a shoddy run protection (No. 107 EPA/run). We are able to see Kennesaw grinding out yards on this matchup. On the opposite facet of the ball, Kennesaw’s No. 116 SP+ protection ought to battle FIU’s No. 115 SP+ offense to a draw.  

FIU’s offensive points are a giant motive that almost all of its video games towards similarly-talented packages finish shut. In FIU’s final six video games, 5 have been determined by single digits. We see one other shut sport coming right here, and are comfortable to seize the factors with the house ‘canine. 

  • Thor’s Guess: Kennesaw State +9.5 

My Prime 25  

Try the complete prime 25 with my faculty soccer energy rankings. 

Rank  Staff  Conf  Proj Wins  Energy Score  SOS Rank 
1  Ohio St.  B1G  10.9  50.3  22 
2  Texas  SEC  10.7  49.7  16 
3  Oregon  B1G  12.0  49.4  45 
4  Georgia  SEC  10.0  48.8  4 
5  Alabama  SEC  9.8  47.4  8 
6  Ole Miss  SEC  9.8  47.1  24 
7  Notre Dame  IND  10.6  45.9  49 
8  Penn St.  B1G  10.8  45.2  38 
9  Tennessee  SEC  9.8  44.1  47 
10  Indiana  B1G  11.2  43.9  66 
11  Miami (FL)  ACC  10.9  43.8  65 
12  Texas A&M  SEC  8.9  42.0  21 
13  South Carolina  SEC  8.5  40.3  15 
14  Clemson  ACC  9.6  40.0  57 
15  SMU  ACC  10.6  39.4  68 
16  LSU  SEC  7.6  39.1  9 
17  Iowa  B1G  7.6  38.4  34 
18  USC  B1G  6.2  37.8  13 
19  Colorado  B12  9.4  37.5  35 
20  Boise St.  MWC  11.0  37.3  85 
21  Florida  SEC  6.0  37.2  3 
22  Auburn  SEC  4.5  37.1  11 
23  Iowa St.  B12  9.1  37.0  40 
24  Kansas St.  B12  8.3  36.9  36 
25  Louisville  ACC  7.3  36.6  37 

 

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