Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Horse Racing suggestions
13:40 Leopardstown – Karniquet (each-way)
14:10 Leopardstown – El Fabiolo
14:25 Musselburgh – Bretney
14:45 Leopardstown – Riaan (each-way)
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to vary.
All eyes shall be on Kopek Des Bourdes following his win over the course and distance on the Christmas assembly. That afternoon, he was significantly slower than the opposite spectacular novice winner, Workahead.
Nevertheless, if you wish to be sort there have been mitigating circumstances as he seemed very inexperienced out in entrance and was by no means naturally fluent at his obstacles. Add to that the shape has been properly franked by the second house Kawaboomga, and he he appears to be like certain to enhance massively for the expertise, and he’s most likely the precise favorite.
Nevertheless, I’m very completely satisfied to let him go and win at round even-money, and the choice, and secure mate, KARNIQUET might very nicely hit the body at enormous odds, giving us a a lot greater revenue.
One in all at least six Willie Mullins’ runners, the each-way choice was fortunate to outlive a completely terrible mistake on the second flight within the Grade One Paddy Energy Future Champions Novice Hurdle earlier than fading from the second final when given a massively straightforward time by Paddy within the closing levels.
It’s price noting that he was despatched off at simply 11/2 that day and if you happen to forgive him that run and poor spherical of leaping he nonetheless stays with loads of potential based mostly on his maiden win at Tramore. That success has labored out splendidly nicely with the second and third having touchdown their maidens since.
Outdoors of group Mullins, Bleu De Vassy might hit the body and presumably extra if the market chief fails to take one other step ahead.
Over fences on the Dublin observe, Gaelic Warrior’s kind figures learn U2, second to Solness on his return, and I’d not be in any rush to again him right here at a shade of odds-on. Barry Connell retains on harking on about Marine Nationale, however he’s quickly working out of excuses, and there may be little doubt that the 2023 Supreme Novice Hurdle hero is means higher on a sound floor, and I’d moderately again him within the Champion Chase at Cheltenham on good floor than a testing floor right here.
Quilixios definitely received’t thoughts the bottom, however even with doubts concerning the entrance few out there, is he ok?
Which leaves me to aspect with EL FABIOLO, a winner at this assembly within the final two years, this race 12 months in the past, and the Arkle earlier than that. He has a mighty report when contemporary and is six from eight over fences.
The bay gelding is probably not essentially the most pure jumper within the subject, however these are his circumstances and though I’m leaping the gun so far as his readiness is worried on his first run since April, will probably be very fascinating to learn the pre-race quotes from his esteemed coach which can nicely make or break a giant each-way play from me, he might nonetheless be ok.
The bottom could solely be good to tender on the Edinburgh observe, however with a number of pure entrance runners and pressers on this subject of 15, this can nonetheless be a really deep check of stamina over the four-mile journey.
Prime weight King Turgeon has made nice strides this season, and he was solely overwhelmed by the bottomless stamina of Collectors Merchandise within the Somerset Nationwide at Wincanton. Nonetheless, he has endured some fairly powerful races this season and can do nicely to offer weight away throughout in one more slugfest and on his fifth begin of the season since late October.
Manofthepeople is unquestionably higher than his pulled-up effort at Cheltenham in November and will go nicely at a double-figure value and might be price a saver, however the nod goes to the Henry Daly-trained runner, BRETNEY, who has fairly clearly been aimed toward this race following a transparent reduce win within the Borders Nationwide Handicap Chase at Kelso.
Up an extra seven kilos for that win in a greater race, if the 10-year-old can keep in contact with the sector on this barely faster floor on the primary circuit then his stamina appears to be like certain to return into play down the house stretch.
That is my type of handicap chase with additional locations up for grabs from Paddy Energy and a vastly opposable favorite in prime weight James Du Berlais. There may be definitely nothing fallacious along with his mark of 152, however I believe that he’s tender in a end. Prone to be working throughout his rivals after the second final, I fancy up the powerful last climb that he’ll succumb to at the very least two featherweights down the house stretch.
Towards Willie Mullins’ cost, I took a really lengthy whereas to get my shortlist down to 3. Shantreusse is undoubtedly properly weighted on his greatest kind, and if he can put in a clear spherical of leaping, which isn’t all the time the case, then Rachael’s mount has an impressive likelihood of hitting the body on the very least at double-figure odds.
Stablemate Life In The Park hasn’t proven a lot this season, however two runs over three miles is a visit past his greatest, and he might run nicely and I’ll nicely mix the 2 De Bromhead runners in a hopeful mixture forecast/tricast with the RIAAN whose leaping is simply that little bit extra reliable.
Second on this race final yr off a mark of 132, his three runs since, down the sector within the Plate at Cheltenham after which out with the washing within the Troytown and a beneficial handicap once more at Navan final trip doesn’t encourage a lot. Nevertheless, he travelled fairly nicely by way of that race final trip, and I really feel that common pilot Danny Gilligan eased him down loads early sufficient with possibly a view to this race. Now, he’s solely a pound above final yr’s score, and he appears to be like too huge to disregard right here.
Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Horse Racing suggestions
13:40 Leopardstown – Karniquet (each-way)
14:10 Leopardstown – El Fabiolo
14:25 Musselburgh – Bretney
14:45 Leopardstown – Riaan (each-way)
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct on the time of publishing however topic to vary.
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