Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Horse Racing ideas
12:12 Lingfield – Outreach
14:12 Lingfield – Lilkian
14:42 Lingfield – Raqraaq
15:12 Lingfield – Tortured Soul
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.
Like all the subject for this labeled occasion, the Mark Usher-trained runner OUTREACH has seen significantly better days. This time final 12 months, he was rated as excessive because the ceiling for such an occasion, 50. Since then, the choice has gained off 47 and 45 at Wolverhampton, after which he has not troubled the win or place decide in six outings.
Again right down to a career-low of 46 right here, his final two runs can safely be placed on the again burner as he needed to race from approach out vast on the Dunstall Park monitor, not disgraced when overwhelmed simply the 4 lengths by Match Anthem three weeks in the past.
The draw has been a lot kinder this time, with the five-year-old set to race from field quantity 5, and George Bass, who is aware of the gelding nicely, is again on board. Of his rivals, Autumn Angel was a formidable winner of her final begin at Wolves however is seemingly ineffective round right here, which might see Charlatan as a much bigger hazard.
Three wins from 9 on a synthetic floor makes the chestnut gelding a giant participant this afternoon, particularly in the event that they overrace up prime, as it could seem that an additional 220 yards would profit him.
Kaparis Child is often well-backed, however most of the time, he hits the crossbar. However his flip lastly got here final day trip when the cash was down once more with a clean success at Southwell when he appeared to doss out within the lead after taking on the operating a furlong and a half out.
A single pound greater right here, he’s more likely to reclaim his place on the prime of the market and is rightly revered.
Nonetheless, this column is all about worth and the veteran choice LILKIAN might characterize simply that at double-figure odds.
Though he has but to win in 18 begins, latest glimpses recommend that he stays able to profitable an occasion of this nature when issues go proper, notably his final two begins on the Surrey venue.
Within the two outings since, he has not received dwelling over a seventh furlong at Southwell, whereas he raced approach too freely the time earlier than at Newcastle and paid the value shut dwelling underneath his inexperienced newbie jockey.
With David Probert again on board, anticipate the pairing to take a midfield sit early on earlier than a late-fire run down the brief dwelling stretch and hit the body on the very least.
Of the actual lengthy pictures, Severe Look is by far probably the most attention-grabbing contender. He could be value a saver at a giant value, having raced initially off an enormous 25lbs greater mark at first of 2024.
Seven furlongs could also be extra his area, however any market assist would make him a play coming off a 103-day break. Off for the same time, Takeover Goal is, in contrast, coming down in distance however tends to run freely when contemporary from a break, which led me to the choice RAQRAAQ.
Hardly a prolific winner (1 from 26 in his profession), the highest weight has twice given trigger for optimism, none extra so than final day trip when ending off properly when not getting one of the best of runs when a by no means nearer two and a half lengths third of 10 to H Key Lails in a greater race than this.
The handicapper has allowed him to race off the identical mark right here, and with loads of tempo on the sharp finish, he ought to get a stunning tow by means of this mile contest and be capable to slot in from stall seven.
You might make loads of viable arguments for at the least six of this subject, with the market most likely revolving across the four-timer searching for Alfheim following wins off 53, 56 and 58. All these successes have come at Wolverhampton and a mark of 63 asks extra.
Nonetheless, since coming over from Jessie Harrington’s yard, the place she ran in some first rate maidens on the turf, he stays comparatively frivolously raced.
Nonetheless, I hope he makes the marketplace for the choice, TORTURED SOUL, who will seemingly go off because the third favorite right here.
On the face of it, he appears to be like a deal extra uncovered, having gone to the beginning on 27 events, however his all-weather file is kind of outstanding, having gained seven of his 13 begins and positioned on two others.
He rattled up six wins in a short while round this time final 12 months, when his mark went up from 49 to 65. One function of these victories was a superb tempo to goal down the lane.
It took him 9 extra races earlier than he got here again down within the weights. He raced off as excessive as 70, then emphatically bounced again to kind final time at Wolverhampton.
That afternoon, Jack Doughty used his assured stamina to the total, main 1 / 4 of a mile out and pulling away from his seven rivals. A 3lbs penalty appears to be like very additional and senior member of the weighing room, Neil Callan takes over right here.
Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Horse Racing ideas
12:12 Lingfield – Outreach
14:12 Lingfield – Lilkian
14:42 Lingfield – Raqraaq
15:12 Lingfield – Tortured Soul
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct on the time of publishing however topic to alter.
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