Timeform’s Chepstow racing suggestions
11:52 – Clondaw Common
12:27 – Don Alvaro
13:02 – Off The Jury
13:37 – Courageous Kingdom
14:12 – Wrappedupinmay
14:47 – Supremely West
15:22 – Gentleman Toboot
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct on the time of publishing however topic to vary.
*In the present day’s assembly at Chepstow is topic to an AM inspection with heavy rain forecast.
The market has tended to get this race proper, with no winner at a much bigger worth than 3/1 within the final 5 years, and CLONDAW GENERAL is a assured choice regardless of his winner’s penalty. Kim Bailey’s cost appeared a robust stayer, on a profitable hurdling debut in a four-runner occasion at Worcester in October and, open to enchancment, he’s fancied to defy a penalty switched to a monitor that guarantees to go well with him higher. The returning Jail No Bail clearly isn’t the simplest to coach, however ought to have extra to supply, notably upped to a staying journey. Histrionic hasn’t fairly lived as much as his price ticket to this point (value €450,000 as a four-year-old). however shouldn’t be written off, switching to hurdling with a tongue-tie for the primary time.
There’s a level of guesswork concerned, as DON ALVARO hasn’t been seen for nearly two years, however he’s frivolously raced over fences and possibly has extra to supply based mostly on the way in which he accomplished his wins that season, so he’s value taking an opportunity on. Current Exeter winner Gyenyame is open to enhance, whereas Zertakt is an fascinating one on his return. His coach Venetia is one in all two Williams’ which have achieved effectively on this race through the years, and he or she has her horses in nice nick, as is usually the case right now of 12 months. Billytherealbigred is an apparent participant if he takes up the engagement (declared at Exeter on Friday), whereas top-weight Eaton Collina shall be happier on slower floor at a venue he likes. Any cash for Margaret’s Legacy on steady debut can be vital.
OFF THE JURY wasn’t in a position to match strides with Mister Meggit on his hurdles debut at Aintree, but it surely’s unlikely there’s one in all that calibre in opposition right here, and he was removed from disgraced that day. Alan King’s cost is taken to go one higher, maybe on the chief expense of Prophesea, who was positioned in a maiden right here lately and may have extra to supply with a higher emphasis on stamina doubtless. Alan De Banks, who’s from the household of high-class chaser Joncol, and bumper recruit King of Thieves – who confirmed lots amidst greenness on debut at Ffos Las – are others to think about. Paul Nicholls has received this race (or a division of) within the final two years, and Captain Bellamy seems the choose of his two, having ran into Skyjack Hijack on his hurdling debut.
Assuming he doesn’t get into an excessive amount of of a battle for the early lead, BRAVE KINGDOM may very well be the way in which to go in a aggressive race, the place none could be comfortably dominated out. He can’t have been proper on his last begin of final season, and might get his profession again on monitor, on his return to motion on floor he likes. Take pleasure in Your Life gained his two wins final season, at round 3m, and might construct on his good reappearance right here over a shorter journey and supply the chief menace forward of Sporting Ace, a constant kind who was a winner on this card final 12 months. The bottom ought to go well with Imperial Alex, who stays of curiosity, now in a position to race off his right handicap mark, whereas Good Threat At All has a very good report recent and his coach clearly thinks this journey will go well with.
The vote goes the way in which of the Paul Nicholls-trained chase newcomer WRAPPEDUPINMAY, with confidence elevated ought to the betting vibes round this Irish point-to-point winner be sturdy. Course winner Livin On Luco is revered on the again of chase debut success at Newton Abbot, whereas front-runner Mahland has an identical profile to the choice, and will additionally play a component if able to roll on his reappearance/chasing debut. Not Lengthy Left, who’s from the household of top-class hurdler/good chaser Oscar Whisky, has a primary begin since leaving Christian Williams and is revered regardless of the absence of the tongue-tie worn for his win at Fontwell when final seen in Could 2023.
High-weight SUPREMELY WEST progressed effectively over hurdles final season and, having achieved an excessive amount of too quickly on his Hexham return, he’s value one other likelihood with the blinkers retained (on for final two begins). Timeform ‘Horse In Focus’ Thanksforthehelp appears to be constructing again to one thing, from a doubtlessly lenient mark, and robust market help for him can be vital, with Artwork of Diplomacy finishing the shortlist after bouncing again from a protracted absence final season. Rickety Bridge must hurdle higher than when a crushed favorite at Ludlow in October, but it surely isn’t inconceivable, and he seems to have underfoot circumstances to go well with right here. Lorcan Williams seems a very good reserving for Rivers Nook and he can run effectively at a worth.
GENTLEMAN TOBOOT left the distinct impression his inexperience value him (went just like the winner for a great distance) when third on debut in a Newton Abbot bumper 38 days in the past. He can put that to make use of and may very well be the way in which to go in a first-time tongue-tie. €100,000-purchase Gillespie, and Irish point-to-point winner Large Cadillac, are a extremely interesting newcomers from high stables and market help for both can be vital. Lucinda Russell’s filly Lets Mingle is within the combine, too, having formed with promise from off the tempo in sixth at Aintree on debut. This stiffer take a look at of stamina ought to go well with her effectively.
Chepstow betting suggestions
11:52 – Clondaw Common
12:27 – Don Alvaro
13:02 – Off The Jury
13:37 – Courageous Kingdom
14:12 – Wrappedupinmay
14:47 – Supremely West
15:22 – Gentleman Toboot
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct on the time of publishing however topic to vary.
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