The $275,000, Grade 3 Remorse Stakes Saturday at Churchill Downs encompasses a very aggressive 10-horse discipline, highlighted by three fillies exiting the Grade 2 Edgewood Stakes Introduced by TwinSpires held on this turf course 4 weeks in the past.
Approach to Be Marie is a kind of, having led late earlier than ending second by a half-length on the finish to Dynamic Pricing. Dancing N Dixie completed only a neck behind Approach to Be Marie in that race and was third in two stakes in a row previous to that. Buchu gained the Grade 2 Appalachian Stakes Introduced by Japan Racing Affiliation in April earlier than ending sixth within the Edgewood. Everland gained the Bourbonette Oaks in March on an all-weather observe earlier than posting a fifth-place end on typical grime within the Grade 1 Longines Kentucky Oaks in early Might. Religion Understood completed second within the Reminiscences of Silver Stakes in New York close to the top of April and is one other confirmed competitor at this stage on grass. Pin Up Betty was very spectacular with a five-length win on grass on Might 9 and runs in a stakes race for the primary time, as does Sassy Princess, who completed fourth however was crushed inches for the win in her most up-to-date race. Whats up Hollywood completed third in that very same race and was fourth within the Sanibel Island Stakes previous to that. Gavea gained final September when importing from Europe however then ran poorly, and now returns off a seven-month layoff. Poolside with Slim completed fifth within the Appalachian Stakes in her most up-to-date begin.
Win contenders:
Pin Up Betty completed second in 4 straight races stretching again to November of final 12 months earlier than lastly incomes her first win three weeks in the past. Nonetheless, it should be famous three of these runner-up efforts got here on grime or all-weather tracks, with solely the final one on turf. Maybe extra importantly, Pin Up Betty was rested almost three months between her grime race on January 19 and her first turf race on April 13 and appears to have matured so much bodily and mentally in the course of the day without work along with actually taking to the grass. Within the April 13 race, Pin Up Betty made a daring transfer within the stretch to get to inside a neck of the chief and though the winner drew off to attain by 3 ½ lengths after that, Pin Up Betty was exceptionally recreation in maintaining the third-place finisher at bay by a neck on the wire. Subsequent, operating over the Churchill Downs turf for the primary time on Might 9 and on the 1 1/8-mile distance of the Remorse Stakes, Pin Up Betty rallied huge beginning with 1 / 4 mile left to go to be in entrance by 2 ½ lengths into the stretch, then drew off to win by 5 lengths. Pin Up Betty earned a 93 Equibase Velocity Determine after which a 94 determine in her two earlier begins, and the filly will probably be racing in opposition to her 3-year-old age group within the Remorse after defeating a discipline of fillies and mares 3 and up on Might 9. Subsequently, this one might be poised for her greatest effort but and that might be ok to publish the upset in opposition to this discipline.
Buchu burst on the scene when she gained the Jessamine Stakes Introduced by Keeneland November final October. Following a sixth-place end within the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf in November, Buchu was given 5 months off and returned to successful kind within the Appalachian Stakes, incomes a career-best 106 determine. Off that win, Buchu was well-regarded 4 weeks in the past within the Edgewood Stakes however completed sixth, nonetheless incomes a robust 104 determine. That poor effort might have been the results of the soggy turf course which was labeled yielding that day. She’ll be again on firmer floor Saturday, and having gained over the Churchill Downs turf course final September, Buchu might return to kind ok to win this 12 months’s Remorse Stakes.
Whats up Hollywood didn’t run effectively in her profession debut in January when attempting two activates grass with out good thing about a shorter race first, however her three begins since have all resulted in good efforts and her sample for enchancment can’t be ignored. Whats up Hollywood gained on Feb. 25 in her second begin, then though she completed fourth within the Sanibel Island Stakes after that, she was concerned in a three-way photograph for second. She improved to a career-best 98 determine final month when crushed a nostril and a neck for the win and turned in a really robust effort. Whats up Hollywood might run even higher on this race, and like Pin Up Betty, she might publish an upset as we will count on her odds to be increased than different horses with confirmed stakes kind.
Two different horses with stakes kind are Approach to Be Marie and Dancing N Dixie, who completed second and third, respectively, within the Edgewood Stakes, each of them in entrance of Buchu. Approach to Be Marie earned a career-best 107 determine with that effort, an enormous enchancment from the 100 velocity determine earned earlier than that in March when successful an allowance race on the grass. Within the Edgewood, Approach to Be Marie rallied from fourth on the flip to guide with an eighth of a mile to go however was outfinished by the winner, whereas Dancing N Dixie (who earned a 106 determine) was widest of the 11 horses getting into the stretch and rolling late to maneuver from eighth to 3rd within the ultimate eighth of a mile. Though these have been good efforts and each fillies could also be aggressive once more within the Remorse, I feel additionally they could also be guess extra closely than is right for his or her win likelihood, noting that, for instance, Dancing N Dixie completed third in two straight stakes races previous to the Edgewood whereas rallying a lot too late to be a win contender.
The remainder of the sector, with their greatest consultant Equibase Velocity Figures, is Everland (100), Religion Understood (92), Gavea (92), Poolside with Slim (96) and Sassy Princess (97).
Win Contenders in desire order:
Pin Up Betty
Buchu
Whats up Hollywood
