Welcome to Noel Michaels’ Weekend Winners, the place to go for weekend finest bets and spot performs from veteran handicapper and tournament-play pioneer Noel Michaels. Verify again each week for a few highlighted picks designed that will help you money a couple of bets and make some cash.
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Six Newbie Betting Instruments
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The autumn season at Aqueduct is loaded with good racing and wagering and this weekend can be no exception. Saturday’s nine-race program at Aqueduct can be headlined by a pair of New York-bred stakes races going seven furlongs on the primary monitor, the New York Stallion Collection Staten Island Collection Staten Island Division for fillies and mares and the Thunder Rumble Division for colts and geldings. For this weekend’s winners, let’s use quite a lot of logical contenders however miss the favorites. If we will choose the winners and beat the chalk, we might have a giant day on the Massive A this Saturday. Better of luck.
Saturday, Nov. 23
Aqueduct, Race 7, $125,000 New York Stallion Collection Staten Island Division, put up time 3:08 p.m. ET
The New York Stallion Collection Staten Island division has drawn a subject of seven New York-bred fillies and mares able to battle it out at seven furlongs. The morning-line favourite within the race is #7 Athena Seashore, and whereas she has an opportunity to win, she couldn’t maintain on going shorter at 6 ½ furlongs final day trip and there look like different choices on this subject that provide higher worth. #4 Brown Suga Babe has been in super kind since September with three wins by open lengths in her final 4 races together with two wins right here at Aqueduct going one mile. She exits a 2 ¾-length win right here final time, and he or she’s the one to beat if seven furlongs is sufficient actual property for her to work with. I see no purpose why not. #2 Sunday Woman and #3 Khali Magic have velocity and can each be giving Athena Seashore matches up on or near the lead in a tempo situation that advantages Brown Suga Babe. Both Sunday Woman or Khali Magic ought to be capable of maintain on properly sufficient for a spot within the exacta.
The Play: Guess on #4 Brown Suga Babe (4-1) to win and play her in exacta containers with #2 Sunday Woman (9-2) and #3 Khali Magic (7-2).
Aqueduct, Race 8, $125,000 New York Stallion Collection Thunder Rumble Division, put up time 3:38 p.m. ET
The New York Stallion Collection Thunder Rumble Division brings collectively a subject of eight New York breds set to go seven furlongs for a handbag of $125,000. Let’s go all-in and all-out on this spot to attempt to beat susceptible morning-line favourite #6 Antonio of Venice, who can be closely guess based mostly on his kind from seven months in the past. No thanks. He’s coming back from the sidelines at a brief value for a barn that has received with solely considered one of its final 23 runners coming back from greater than a six-month layoff. As a substitute, let’s focus our bets on a more likely winner, #3 Doc Sullivan, who has been one of many two finest New York-bred 3-year-olds of this 12 months after his win within the $121,000 Mike Lee Stakes and second-place finishes within the $159,000 New York Derby and $242,000 Albany Stakes, which had been two-turn routes. The Mike Lee win was at seven furlongs and he ought to profit from returning to the gap on this race. For the exactas and trifectas, let’s miss Antonio of Venice and go for higher costs. #8 Normal Banker was not embarrassed final time when mid-pack within the $250,000 Empire Traditional at a distance that was too far for him, however his current Beyer Pace Figures have been constantly excessive, and he matches on this spot based mostly on his allowance win on this monitor in opposition to open firm two races in the past. #5 Mild Man can be a terrific choose on this spot. Whereas Doc Sullivan has been focusing totally on longer races, Mild Man has been probably the greatest NY-bred sprinters this 12 months and exits a win within the $150,000 Hudson Stakes at 6 ½ furlongs on New York Showcase Day. He might be formally thought of an Aqueduct horse for the course with 4 wins and a second in his 5 profession outings at this monitor to date.
The Play: Guess #3 Doc Sullivan (5-2) to win and play him in exacta and trifecta containers with #5 Would possibly Man (9-2) and #8 Normal Banker (7-2).