The utmost sustained winds of Tropical Storm Ofel (Usagi) improve to 85 km/h on Tuesday morning, November 12. Extreme Tropical Storm Nika (Toraji) will go away the Philippine Space of Accountability within the afternoon.
MANILA, Philippines – Tropical Storm Ofel (Usagi) barely intensified over the Philippine Sea on Tuesday morning, November 12, whereas Extreme Tropical Storm Nika (Toraji) was already about to go away the Philippine Space of Accountability (PAR).
Ofel’s most sustained winds elevated from 75 kilometers per hour to 85 km/h, mentioned the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Providers Administration (PAGASA) in a briefing previous 11 am on Tuesday. Its gustiness is now as much as 105 km/h from the earlier 90 km/h.
PAGASA expects Ofel to “steadily intensify within the subsequent three days.” It could turn into a extreme tropical storm on Tuesday and a storm on Wednesday night, November 13, or early Thursday morning, November 14, then attain its peak depth earlier than hitting land.
Ofel was final noticed 950 kilometers east of southeastern Luzon at 10 am, remaining removed from land and never but instantly affecting the nation.
The tropical storm accelerated, transferring northwest at 35 km/h from 25 km/h.
At its present tempo, Ofel might make landfall in Northern Luzon or Central Luzon on Thursday afternoon or night, however PAGASA mentioned the tropical cyclone’s observe “should still shift inside the restrict of the forecast confidence cone.”
“Though it’s too early to precisely decide the precise areas to be affected by sure hazards, areas in Northern Luzon are liable to heavy rainfall, extreme wind, and, presumably, storm surge inundation from Ofel which can trigger appreciable impacts,” the climate bureau reiterated.
“Furthermore, the japanese parts of Central and Southern Luzon might also be affected, particularly if the tropical cyclone additional expands in dimension or follows a extra southerly path (however inside the forecast confidence cone).”
Sign No. 1 may be raised for components of Cagayan Valley late Tuesday night or early Wednesday morning, in anticipation of sturdy winds from Ofel. This may give lead time of 36 hours for preparations.
The very best doable tropical cyclone wind sign because of Ofel is Sign No. 4.
PAGASA added that “the wind movement coming in the direction of the circulation” of the tropical storm will convey sturdy to gale-force gusts to those areas:
Wednesday, November 13
Thursday, November 14
- Batanes, Quezon together with Polillo Islands, Camarines Norte, northern a part of Camarines Sur, northern a part of Catanduanes
Friday, November 15
- Isabela, northern a part of Aurora
Beginning Thursday, Cagayan and Isabela might have heavy to intense rain from Ofel, whereas Apayao, Kalinga, and Mountain Province might even see average to heavy rain. Floods and landslides are possible.
Extra areas are anticipated to be added to the rainfall outlook because the tropical cyclone approaches the nation.
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In the meantime, Nika was positioned 225 kilometers west northwest of Laoag Metropolis, Ilocos Norte, or 315 kilometers west of Calayan, Cagayan, as of 10 am on Tuesday.
The extreme tropical storm slowed down forward of its anticipated exit from PAR within the afternoon, transferring northwest over the West Philippine Sea at solely 10 km/h.
It nonetheless has most sustained winds of 95 km/h and gustiness of as much as 115 km/h.
At its peak, Nika was a storm with most sustained winds of 130 km/h. It was downgraded to a extreme tropical storm after crossing Aurora, Isabela, Ifugao, Mountain Province, and Ilocos Sur on Monday, November 11. Its landfall was in Dilasag, Aurora, at 8:10 am on Monday.
There aren’t any extra areas experiencing heavy rain from Nika. However some areas stay below Sign No. 1 as of 11 am on Tuesday because of sturdy winds introduced by the extreme tropical storm:
- northern a part of Ilocos Norte (Sarrat, Piddig, Bangui, Vintar, Burgos, Pagudpud, Bacarra, Adams, Pasuquin, Carasi, San Nicolas, Dumalneg, Laoag Metropolis)
- northern a part of Apayao (Luna, Calanasan)
- northwestern a part of Cagayan (Abulug, Pamplona, Sanchez-Mira, Santa Praxedes, Claveria)
- northwestern a part of Babuyan Islands (Calayan Island, Dalupiri Island, Fuga Island)
The very best tropical cyclone wind sign raised because of Nika was Sign No. 4.
On Tuesday, the northeasterly windflow will even proceed to convey sturdy to gale-force gusts to Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, Batanes, Cagayan together with Babuyan Islands, and Isabela.
As well as, there may be nonetheless a minimal to average threat of storm surges in Ilocos Norte and Ilocos Sur inside 48 hours.
For sea circumstances within the subsequent 24 hours, PAGASA up to date its outlook:
As much as very tough seas (journey is dangerous for all vessels)
- Seaboards of Ilocos Norte and northern Ilocos Sur – waves as much as 4 meters excessive
As much as tough seas (small vessels mustn’t enterprise out to sea)
- Seaboards of Batanes and Cagayan together with Babuyan Islands – waves as much as 3.5 meters excessive
- Remaining seaboard of Ilocos Area; seaboard of northern Isabela – waves as much as 3 meters excessive
As much as average seas (small vessels ought to take precautionary measures or keep away from crusing, if doable)
- Remaining western and japanese seaboards of Luzon; japanese seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao – waves as much as 2 meters excessive
Nika and Ofel are the Philippines’ 14th and fifteenth tropical cyclones for 2024. They’re additionally the second and third tropical cyclones for November, coming after Hurricane Marce (Yinxing), which battered Northern Luzon as effectively.
PAGASA additionally continues to observe Tropical Storm Man-yi outdoors PAR. It was positioned 2,680 kilometers east of southeastern Luzon as of 8 am on Tuesday, transferring west at solely 10 km/h and nonetheless removed from PAR.
Man-yi has most sustained winds of 85 km/h and gustiness of as much as 105 km/h. – Rappler.com
