Joe Logue’s Saturday Breeders Cup suggestions
19:41 Believing (each-way)
20:21 Thorpedo Anna
21:01 Far Bridge (each-way)
21:41 Fierceness & Arthurs Journey
22:25 Content material
23:05 Straight No Chaser (NAP)
23:45 Porta Fortuna
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to vary.
Final 12 months’s winner Huge Evs has a determined attract stall 11. So has Bradsell in stall 12. BELIEVING might battle from stall one, however at the very least Ryan Moore’s being again on board is a giant plus, and her third within the Prix de l’Abbaye underlined her consistency this season. Ought to be among the many locations at the very least.
THORPEDO ANNA is a s near a racing certainty as you’ll get in my eyes and she or he’s been the standout filly within the US this 12 months. She’s gained 4 Group 1s runs together with the Kentucky Oaks and the American Oaks.
She has solely been crushed as soon as this 12 months when she raced towards the boys within the Travers Stakes at Saratoga. That was by a number one Breeders’ Cup Traditional contender in Fierceness.
Again towards her personal intercourse now, it’s virtually unimaginable to see her crushed.
We step as much as 1m 4f on the Turf for the Breeders’ Cup Turf, and whereas it feels a bit of bit unusual going towards the UK and Irish runners, Far Bridge jumps out as a number one contender at a giant worth.
His kind is powerful, and on figures, he needs to be bang there as he’s actually taken a step ahead in his final two begins. With query marks over some, like Luxembourg and Emily Upjohn, in the direction of the top of the market, FAR BRIDGE is a cracking each-way worth.
This race revolves round Ballydoyle’s Metropolis Of Troy. There are many unknowns right here, similar to whether or not he’ll act on the floor or break shortly sufficient to get to the lead from stall three. He would want to interrupt faster than he has earlier than to get the lead.
The large challenge is that if he doesn’t get the lead, he will probably be getting a number of kickback, and that’s not one thing he’s used to. We don’t know the way he’ll deal with that both. It’s all about worth as he’s very brief in the intervening time.
There are solely two on this area – FIERCENESS & ARTHURS RIDE – who’re working to a successful stage on dust.
Fierceness gained the Florida Derby earlier than bombing out within the Kentucky Derby when despatched off favorite. They gave him break day, and he gained the Jim Dandy Stakes beating Sierra Leone, who reopposes.
The standout efficiency was beating Thorpedo Anna final time within the Travers Stakes. He confirmed that day he wasn’t tender and has the battle wanted to win a race like this. A stall 9 draw will probably be wonderful for him as he likes to trace the tempo and journey on the outer of the pack, stalking the tempo till the jockey tells him to ‘go’.
Arthur’s Journey has been missed massively, and that’s all the way down to a surprising run at Saratoga. He was working and competing in run-of-the-mill races earlier than successful very impressively within the Whitney Stakes at Saratoga beating some very fancied runners.
He was despatched off the odds-on favorite within the Jockey Gold Cup Stakes and completed fifth. No excuse was given, and I don’t assume there was one. It was simply a type of performances the place the horse simply runs flat with no apparent purpose why. I’ve backed him at 25/1 each-way as he’s price forgiving and taking an opportunity on.
Horses racing within the Breeders’ Cup at Del Mar
Ylang Ylang was scratched so Ryan Moore swaps to stablemate CONTENT. She would have been my alternative of the 2 anyway. She’s much more constant than Ylang Ylang, and the tender floor at Longchamp and Ascot counted towards her the final twice in Group 1 races.
She needs good to agency floor and from a stall seven draw and Ryan Moore aboard has an enormous likelihood. This appears to be like like a weak and open race and she or he has an enormous likelihood within the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf.
STRAIGHT NO CHASER is my NAP on the night time. He has a patchy profile and gained a Grade 3 in Pimlico earlier than bombing out as favorite subsequent time.
He missed the entire summer season however made an electrical return successful the Santa Anita Dash Championship final time by almost seven lengths. He recorded a ‘Beyer pace determine’ of 104 in that victory and now steps up in grade for the primary time however appears to be like greater than able to successful.
His latest work has been the exception, and he clocked 47 secs over 4 furlongs lately. He’s all uncooked pace.
The Breeders’ Cup Mile brings the curtain down on the night time, and PORTA FORTUNA was second within the Juvenile fillies final 12 months when solely crushed half a size in a race connections felt they need to have gained.
Equally, she most likely was unfortunate within the 1,000 Guineas however has been very spectacular since, successful the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot, the Falmouth and Matron Stakes within the UK and Eire.
Stall 7 gained’t smash her probabilities by any means. A quick 1m will certainly go well with Ramatuelle who appears to be like like she barely stays 1m in France, however this can be a pace monitor and can go well with her.
Diego Velazquez has been superb since dropping again to 1m, however I don’t assume he’s adequate to win this. She ought to make her presence felt towards the likes of Notable Speech, who has a number one likelihood – getting the mares’ allowance.
Joe Logue’s Saturday Breeders Cup suggestions
19:41 Believing (each-way)
20:21 Thorpedo Anna
21:01 Far Bridge (each-way)
21:41 Fierceness & Arthurs Journey
22:25 Content material
23:05 Straight No Chaser (NAP)
23:45 Porta Fortuna
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct on the time of publishing however topic to vary.
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