The Dolphins hate New York, plus Jayden Daniels hype

I put my religion within the Chicago Bears final week. And like so many Bears followers, this religion was rewarded with ache.

Tyrique Stevenson’s lack of ability to concentrate for a full hour of sport time blew up what may have been an in any other case rosy week, leaving me susceptible to a surge from our resident NFL professional, the Rhode Island Scumbag. Surge he did, lastly crossing over into the realm of profitability due to his intuition to fade the Baltimore Ravens’ protection and the Carolina Panthers at giant.

This week, I’ll be caught avoiding the temptation to chase dangerous beats with good cash. Our Scumbag good friend could have the possibility to splash round a few of his newfound money. With a strong slate of not-quite-trustable dwelling favorites throughout a 15-game schedule, there might be loads of alternatives for each.

Let’s see what we’ve received. All Scumbag evaluation is in blockquotes under.

Final week, a heads up play from Chris Brooks to remain out of the endzone on the finish of the Inexperienced Bay – Jacksonville matchup saved us from going 3-0 and a neat 4 unit revenue [Ed. note. OH I’M SO SORRY AN UNLIKELY OCCURENCE AT THE END OF THE GAME DIDN’T GO YOUR WAY, I CANNOT RELATE]. Fortuitously, two of the bets had been settled in spectacular trend, resulting in a two unit revenue on the day.

Trying to preserve the constructive momentum going, this Scumbag goes to as soon as once more discover exploitable matchups to revenue from as we hit the midway mark of the NFL season. The hole between myself and the one who does this for a residing (Christian) is slowly however absolutely closing, so I’m to see the place we stand this time subsequent week.

Megan Briggs/Getty Pictures

Buffalo Payments (-6) vs. Miami Dolphins (one unit)

To say Miami struggles in Buffalo traditionally can be an understatement. The final time Miami received a sport in entrance of Payments Mafia was in December 2016, a 34-31 time beyond regulation victory.

Since then, Buffalo has gone 8-0 in opposition to Miami at dwelling, and 14-2 general. Regardless that Miami received Tua Tagovailoa again final week, he was not a distinction maker on this season’s first matchup between these two groups, a 31-10 loss in Miami.

Final week, Arizona’s offensive weapons had their approach with the Miami protection when it mattered. It ought to be extra of the identical for Buffalo this week. Josh Allen and the offense as a complete appears extra harmful with the addition of Amari Cooper (though he was banged up final week). I’m trusting Buffalo to deal with enterprise on either side of the ball and lengthen their win streak at dwelling in emphatic trend.

Peter Casey-Imagn Pictures

Washington Commanders (-3.5) at New York Giants (one unit)

Washington is enjoying spectacular soccer as of late and appears to construct on their thrilling victory final week over Chicago. The Giants are coming off a troublesome Monday evening loss to Pittsburgh and could also be with out their prime working again, Tyrone Tracy.

Final time these two groups met, it was a kick fest for Washington, booting seven subject objectives en path to a 21-18 Washington victory. Each the Commanders’ offense and protection have continued to enhance since then, and I can’t think about they’ll be held out of the endzone by the Giants for an additional 60 minutes.

Daniel Jones’ struggles at dwelling additionally contribute to my feeling that Washington comes into East Rutherford and takes care of enterprise. In the end, a wholesome Jayden Daniels ought to reveal progress in his offense and lead his Commanders to victory.

Matthew Hinton-Imagn Pictures

Denver Broncos (+9.5) at Baltimore Ravens (one unit)

Right here we wish to make a revenue as soon as once more on Denver. Each groups helped money bets for this Scumbag final week, and I’m leaning on Denver to assist us do it once more.

The Bo Nix-led offense confirmed out once more final week (albeit in opposition to the JV Carolina Panthers). The protection was as strong as marketed as soon as once more. Baltimore, then again, put up some factors however was in the end outlasted by the Cleveland Browns and their newest AARP retread, Jameis Winston [Ed. note: Jameis Winston is nearly a full decade younger than either of us].

Though Baltimore added some offense this week within the type of Diontae Johnson, it’s the protection that’s been letting them down this season. Baltimore is presently permitting 26.1 factors per sport, good for twenty sixth within the league. Denver, then again, sits at 15.0 — third-best. One thing goes to have to provide to ensure that the road to make sense. I’m betting on Denver’s protection conserving the sport shut, resulting in a Denver cowl.

Final week: 2-1, +2 models
Season to this point: 14-11-1 (.558), +1 models

Julio Aguilar/Getty Pictures

Let’s attempt to get again on monitor with a shotgun blast of picks. That all the time works, proper? Reacting to a shedding week by upping your bets?

Anyway, I nonetheless imagine within the Bears offense, even regardless of the Matt Eberflus of all of it. The Cardinals have a worse protection than Washington did and Chicago now has one thing to show after vomiting down its personal chest for almost all of Week 8.

35 factors is the very best complete of any Giants sport within the Meadowlands this season. The stadium was constructed on a swamp and New York video games showcase this of their entirety. I don’t love the confluence of two dangerous defenses right here, however even when Washington places up 28 factors I don’t belief Daniel Jones so as to add 17 extra.

The Bengals want a get-right sport and, hey, right here’s the Raiders! Cincinnati has been in a position to deal with enterprise in opposition to dangerous groups following its annual September lull. The Falcons are a intestine decide — two untrustable groups squaring off and the house facet laying fewer than three factors. As of publication, Micah Parsons nonetheless hadn’t practiced, which suggests Dallas will battle to make Kirk Cousins uncomfortable and waylay the Atlanta offense.

Phew. I like these picks extra after speaking them out. I additionally sorta hate them. Ah, effectively.

Final week: 0-2, -3 models
Season to this point: 12-9 (.571), +5 models