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CamSur not poorest province in Bicol as of 2023

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Whereas Camarines Sur did rank first amongst Bicol provinces in line with 2021 poverty incidence statistics, 2023 information ranks Sorsogon because the poorest

Declare: Camarines Sur is the poorest amongst six provinces in Bicol as of February 5, 2024. 

Ranking: Lacking context 

Why we fact-checked this: On October 3, Asintado sa Radyo, a neighborhood radio station in Naga Metropolis, posted a screenshot of Google’s search outcomes that featured a analysis examine stating that Camarines Sur is the poorest province in Bicol. The put up has garnered an estimated 2,100 reactions, 729 feedback, and 744 shares as of October 23. 

The put up’s caption says: “Ayon sa Google ang Camarines Sur ang pinakapoorest province sa 6 na probinsya sa Bicol as of February 5, 2024 na could poverty incidence na 38.7%.

(In accordance with Google, Camarines Sur is the poorest province out of six provinces in Bicol as of February 5, 2024, with a poverty incidence of 38.7%.)

The information: The poverty statistics cited by Asintado sa Radyo, which ranked Camarines Sur highest amongst Bicol provinces in poverty incidence, are outdated and primarily based on 2021 information.  

In accordance with more moderen poverty information, the province of Sorsogon, not Camarines Sur, is ranked highest among the many six Bicol provinces. Poverty incidence amongst households in Sorsogon is estimated at 28.4%, in line with the 2023 Full 12 months Official Poverty Statistics revealed by the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) on August 15, 2024.

The second highest on the record is Catanduanes, which recorded poverty incidence amongst households at 23.5%. It was adopted by Camarines Sur at 22.4%, Albay at 18.1%, Camarines Norte at 17.7%, and Masbate at 12.9%.

Outdated statistics: Camarines Sur did rank highest in poverty incidence amongst Bicol provinces as just lately as 2021, in line with the 2021 Full 12 months Official Poverty Statistics

Printed by the PSA on August 15, 2022, the 2021 poverty estimates mirrored a 29.8% poverty incidence amongst households in Camarines Sur. It was adopted by Sorsogon (21.7%), Masbate (20.2%), Catanduanes (16.8%), Camarines Norte (16.6%), and Albay (15.4%). 

This determine (2021 full yr estimates) represented an enchancment from the first semester poverty statistics for 2021, revealed on December 17, 2021, which mirrored the next poverty incidence fee of 34.6% for Camarines Sur, the very best within the Bicol area on the time. This was adopted by Sorsogon (26.2%), Masbate (24.8%), Camarines Norte (20.9%), Albay (18.18%), and Catanduanes (17.4%). 

The 38.8% determine that Asintado cited seems to be the higher restrict of the “confidence interval” for the estimated poverty incidence fee in Camarines Sur for the primary semester of 2021. The decrease restrict was at 30.4%.   

Improper supply: Asintado inaccurately cites Google because the supply of this statistic. The snippet proven within the Google search outcome is definitely from a analysis examine that cited the PSA 2021 poverty statistics. 

The examine thought of metrics for multidimensional poverty for financial growth, specializing in datasets, algorithms, and fashions from the poorest area of Luzon. The poverty incidence information will not be a results of the examine’s investigation, however was solely talked about as supplemental data to assist the background of the examine. 

The date cited within the caption of Asintado sa Radyo’s put up — February 5, 2024 — is the web publication date of the examine, not the discharge date of the poverty statistics. – Rappler.com

This truth examine was reviewed by a member of Rappler’s analysis staff and a senior editor. Study extra about Rappler’s fact-checking mentorship program right here.

Maintain us conscious of suspicious Fb pages, teams, accounts, web sites, articles, or images in your community by contacting us at factcheck@rappler.com. Allow us to battle disinformation one Truth Examine at a time.

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