Matt Chapman’s Saturday ITV Racing Ideas
13:15 Newmarket – Lead Artist
13:30 York – Invictus Gold (each-way)
13:50 Newmarket – Starzintheireyes
14:05 York – Bennetot (each-way)
14:25 Newmarket – Family tree
14:40 York – King’s Lynn (each-way)
15:00 Newmarket – The Lion In Winter
15:15 York – Fearless Freddy (each-way)
15:40 Newmarket – Jacovec Cavern
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.
ITV Racing churn out 9 races from York and Newmarket on Saturday in one other present of bang bang bang motion, beginning right here with the Group 3 Darley Stakes over 1m1f. This race is difficult to kind out, particularly with my solely love of Lead Artist! Liberty Lane is bang within the combine on the Cambridgeshire win, however there was a observe bias, whereas Spirit Dancer returns from a layoff and a visit which may now be too brief. The bottom ought to have dried out to close good come Saturday, so it’s LEAD ARTIST with whom I hold the religion for John & Thady Gosden and Longchamp Group 1 hero Kieran Shoemark. Seven furlongs was too brief at Doncaster final time, though he ran a belter behind Kinross. This journey is good for me, and Lead Artist has at all times promised to be superb since his second within the Wooden Ditton.
York motion begins with the Listed Rockingham for juveniles over 6f. I’m completely happy to be on INVICTUS GOLD right here and he could be an each-way value for Tom Clover and Neil Callan. A winner at Southwell and Newmarket lately, he scored nicely in a novice at HQ final time and any juice within the floor shouldn’t be a difficulty.
One other Group 3 within the Zetland for staying juveniles over 1m2f. It’s all about stamina. STARZINTHEIREYES will get stamina from Nathaniel in his pedigree, and he appeared promising on debut when chasing residence the useful Subject of Gold. Ralph Beckett’s inmate then made arduous work of getting there at Leicester earlier than pricking his ears and leaving the impression there was loads left within the tank. Appears to be like fascinating below Rossa Ryan in a little bit of a guessing recreation.
14:05 York – Bennetot (each-way)
A handicap over an prolonged 1m2f. It’s a giant area, and it’s irritating there are usually not 16 in right here! The one I like each-way is BENNETOT for David O’Meara and Danny Tudhope. My choice ran a high quality fourth within the Cambridgeshire, adopted by a high quality second at Ayr and third at Ascot. He stays nicely and goes with lower within the floor, so he ought to be within the combine on the very least.
14:25 Newmarket – Family tree
Right here’s the Group 3 Autumn Stakes for juveniles over 1m. GENEALOGY appeared like a giant child when scoring at Punchestown 25 days in the past, and the runner-up on that event has been stuffed since. He’s an awesome massive son of Wootton Bassett, who value 400,000gns and I think he has far more to return for Aidan O’Brien. This observe ought to be far more appropriate, though he’ll need to act whereas taking place and out of the bushes. He appears an excellent prospect.
A handicap over 6f. A large-open occasion. KING’S LYNN deserves an honest prize and will get one other likelihood right here down 1lb after a no-show within the Ayr Gold Cup. Earlier than that, he had been knocking on the door in 5f/6f/7f handicaps, though that is his greatest journey. I’ll have a number of quid on each-way for Andrew Balding and William Carver, who takes off a useful 3lb.
Essentially the most important two-year-old race of the season is the Group 1 Dewhurst over 7f. Aidan O’Brien trains THE LION IN WINTER, and may he land right this moment’s seven-furlong occasion, he’ll change into the winningest Dewhurst handler of all time with 9 successes, together with Rock of Gibraltar and Metropolis of Troy.
At 375,000 euros, The Lion in Winter appears to be a cut price, having scored nicely on debut in a maiden on the Curragh earlier than romping residence within the Group 3 Acomb Stakes at York, thrashing Wimbledon Hawkeye, who went on to land the Group 2 Royal Lodge at Newmarket.
That mentioned, he’s no certainty, despite the fact that he’s the simple 5-1 ante-post favorite for subsequent yr’s 2000 Guineas. He’s the 6-1 market chief for the 2025 Derby.
Godolphin takes him on with the unbeaten Historic Fact and supplemented Shadow of Mild, the mount of their Nr1 rider William Buick.
Shadow of Mild’s stamina is being examined after his Group 1 Center Park success over six furlongs. Connections urged he was extra a Commonwealth Cup sort than a Guineas horse, however he ran strongly to the road. It’s value a attempt.
Historic Fact bids for 4 wins in a row and was a convincing winner of the Group 2 Superlative Stakes in July, defeating the re-opposing Seagulls Eleven. It’s only a fear he’s been off the observe for 91 days.
Right here’s a handicap for juveniles over 1m. FEARLESS FREDDY stays nicely, as he confirmed when scoring over this journey at Kempton final time. He’s up 5lb for that all-weather victory however had proven on turf at Goodwood that he can go on the grass with a good fifth in a handicap there over 7f. He’s a winner on good to delicate, so it shouldn’t matter if the bottom stays squidgy. It’s an each-way choice for William Muir and Chris Grassick and is ridden by Lewis Edmunds.
The large betting race of the day is the Cesarewitch Handicap over 2m2f. The outstanding market mover has been Sea of Sands, who goes for Willie Mullins and is chucked in on some outdated German kind, though he’s by no means tried staying journeys on the Flat. He gained slightly race at Listowel over hurdles the opposite day.
I can’t tip him, although, at his present odds.
The one I like is the Emmet Mullins contender JACOVEC CAVERN, who has an affordable attract stall 14, one thing that’s extra necessary than you would possibly assume.
Jacovec Cavern was a high quality second at Galway, staying on nicely in a giant area over an prolonged two miles and has blended in some top-class hurdle races, together with when eighth behind Lossiemouth within the 2023 Triumph Hurdle on the Cheltenham Competition. The son of Sixties Icon saved on powerfully that day from off the tempo.
In 2022, Jacovec Cavern was educated by Mick Channon and banged in a handicap at Newbury off 76. A mark of 83 this afternoon appears fairly honest, and Hayley Turner could have no situation doing the 8st 2lb. Added to all that, any juice within the floor is not any situation.
So better of luck and pray for Yeeehaaas. You hear me Paddy?
Matt Chapman’s Saturday ITV Racing Ideas
13:15 Newmarket – Lead Artist
13:30 York – Invictus Gold (each-way)
13:50 Newmarket – Starzintheireyes
14:05 York – Bennetot (each-way)
14:25 Newmarket – Family tree
14:40 York – King’s Lynn (each-way)
15:00 Newmarket – The Lion In Winter
15:15 York – Fearless Freddy (each-way)
15:40 Newmarket – Jacovec Cavern
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.
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