Welcome to Noel Michaels’ Weekend Winners, the place to go for weekend finest bets and spot performs from veteran handicapper and tournament-play pioneer Noel Michaels. Verify again each week for a few highlighted picks designed that will help you money just a few bets and make some cash.
Noel’s picks have been featured nearly in every single place horse racing picks may be discovered, together with in print within the Every day Racing Type, The HorsePlayer Journal and American Turf Month-to-month, on-line at DRF.com, Twinspires.com and USRacing.com, from the paddock on-track at Arlington Worldwide Racecourse, and on the air on HRTV, TVG, NYC OTB Further, NYRA’s SatuTalking Horses, and on broadcast TV on WAVE-3 Louisville, ABC KOLO-8 in Reno, Nevada, and channel 72 Lengthy Island Cablevision.
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The Saratoga meet – and the entire summer season for that matter – has flown by this 12 months. Fortunately for horseplayers, nevertheless, the Spa racing season nonetheless has one loaded weekend of racing and wagering nonetheless left to go main as much as Labor Day earlier than it wraps up for the season. Saratoga will host significant stakes races every single day this vacation weekend, maybe none of which will probably be extra impactful than Sunday’s operating of the Grade 1 Jockey Membership Gold Cup Stakes. Sunday on the Spa may also function a stable undercard stakes function on the turf with the $150,000 Bernard Baruch Stakes. For this weekend’s winners, let’s deal with Sunday’s stakes races at Saratoga. If we will money bets on these options, we will probably be nicely on our solution to an pleasant Labor Day vacation betting the Spa. Better of luck.
Saratoga Race Course, Race 11, $150,000 Bernard Baruch Stakes, publish time 5:42 p.m. ET
The supporting function on the Sunday Saratoga program is the $150,000 Bernard Baruch Stakes for turf horses going 1 1/16 miles on the internal course with a subject of seven entries plus two main-track-only horses. This race options some horses reducing again in distance from longer routes and customarily lacks a variety of tempo, so the benefit might go to those within the subject with some velocity or tactical velocity. The horse to beat is #7 Taking Sweet, who has run three turf races at Saratoga relationship again to final summer season and has been no worse than second in any of these races, together with two wins and a second-place end behind none apart from Carl Spackler in final 12 months’s Grade 3 Saranac Stakes. He can set the tempo if vital or sit a size or two behind, and figures to be sitting on a career-best effort right here in his second begin as a 4-year-old since getting back from a 10-month layoff with a stable win final time. The opposite horse within the subject with the flexibility to remain on or near the tempo and who’s quick sufficient to win this or a minimum of fill out the exacta is #6 Regular On for coach Todd Pletcher, who has been within the exacta in six of his 10 profession races up to now. Regular On owns an identical type of stakes win within the 2023 Appleton Stakes at Gulfstream Park and will lastly be able to spherical into kind immediately within the third race of the shape cycle after ending off the board in two races since his return from a layoff of almost 15 months.
The Play: Wager on #7 Taking Sweet (5-2) to win and play him in an exacta field with #6 Regular On (8-1).
Saratoga Race Course, Race 12, $1,000,000 Jockey Membership Gold Cup Stakes, publish time 6:15 p.m. ET
The Grade 1 Jockey Membership Gold Cup has a drawn a seven-horse subject able to run 1 ¼ miles and will function a springboard to the Longines Breeders’ Cup Traditional for its high finishers. #7 Arthur’s Journey has burst onto the nationwide scene in a flash whereas blossoming right into a monster in his final two races, each at Saratoga, which included a 12 ¾-length win with a 111 Beyer Pace Determine in an allowance elective claiming race at this 1 ¼-mile distance adopted by one other wire-to-wire blowout to win by 2 ¼ lengths final time within the Grade 1 Whitney Stakes the place he beat each #3 Vivid Future and #4 Disarm from this race’s subject in addition to another high older horses together with Skippylongstocking, Nationwide Treasure, and First Mission. If something, Sunday’s project will probably be simpler than final time. He’s already confirmed at this 1 ¼-mile distance and will as soon as once more be capable to management the tempo on his solution to one other wire-to-wire victory. Whereas I’m not drawn to the grinding sort of operating model of #1 Tapit Trice and #2 Kuchar on this race, there are a few others within the subject who’ve attraction phrases of filling out exacta and trifectas. #5 Pyrenees has actually come into his personal in his final two races when buying and selling first- and second-place finishes with Kingsbarns within the Grade 3 Pimlico Particular Stakes and the Grade 1 Stephen Foster Stakes. A repeat of both of these efforts ought to be adequate to get him into the highest two or three on this subject. Then there’s #6 Highland Falls, who bought shuffled again behind a gradual tempo when he settled for second behind Tapit Trice final time within the Grade 3 Monmouth Cup Stakes. He can actually make a dent on this spot with a repeat of his prior efforts together with a second within the Grade 2 Oaklawn Handicap and first within the Grade 3 Blame Stakes June 1 at Churchill Downs.
The Play: Wager #7 Arthur’s Journey (4-5) to win and key him on high within the exacta and the trifectas above #5 Pyrenees (8-1) and #6 Highland Falls (5-1).
