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3 NFL upset picks for Week 11

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Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season is right here, and it affords an amazing slate of video games for followers.

The early Sunday window sees an enormous sport within the AFC North between the Baltimore Ravens and the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Sunday slate additionally options intriguing video games between the Chicago Bears and the Inexperienced Bay Packers, in addition to the sport between the Atlanta Falcons and the Denver Broncos.

Then there may be the titanic conflict between the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs and the Buffalo Payments.

Will we see any upsets this week? Listed below are some video games the workers at SB Nation are eying.

New England Patriots (+5) over Los Angeles Rams

Sure associates, that is a completely disgusting homer choice.

However the hope is again in New England in terms of the Patriots.

Drake Maye’s dramatic landing on the ultimate play of regulation two weeks in the past towards the Tennessee Titans was the primary spark of pleasure, and whereas that sport ended with Maye throwing an interception in extra time in a New England loss, final weekend towards the Chicago Bears was a unique story. Maye threw a landing on the offensive facet of the ball, and his defensive teammates flustered fellow rookie quarterback Caleb Williams in New England’s 19-3 win.

Now the Patriots are welcoming in Matthew Stafford and the Rams, as they make the cross-country journey to play within the early Sunday window. That may be a recipe for an upset in my ebook.

—Mark Schofield

Washington Commanders (+4.5) over Philadelphia Eagles

Did everybody simply overlook how good the Commanders are? This workforce solely misplaced by one level to an excellent Steelers workforce, and I generally tend to assume that a significant component in that loss was Brian Robinson Jr. being out harm, their main rusher.

I’m not saying that is going to be a straightforward sport, however there’s little or no to make me imagine that the Eagles are value something greater than the usual residence sport +3 line. On the very least I believe this may very well be one other one level sport, and reality be advised I really assume Washington will go in and win this one.

The Kliff Kingsbury unfold is brutal to defend towards, and despite the fact that Philly’s go protection is stellar I can’t shake the sensation that this one may shock them.

— James Dator

Atlanta Falcons (+2.5) over Denver Broncos

This sport may actually go both means, however I’m a giant fan of what the Falcons have on offense. They face a troublesome Broncos’ protection, but it surely’s additionally a protection that has been vulnerable to receptions by working backs (twenty second in DVOA towards RBs, prime 10 towards each different ability place). Atlanta has a drive of nature in RB Bijan Robinson and a ability place group able to placing up some huge numbers offensively.

On the opposite facet of the ball, I fear about QB Bo Nix towards a workforce that’s predicated on capitalizing on errors. Nix has performed effectively just lately, exhibiting lots of development in areas I used to be involved in for his development. Now, he goes up towards an Atlanta workforce with no true go rush. Nevertheless, safeties Jessie Bates and Justin Simmons will give him issues, and I believe they drive a mistake out of him.

— JP Acosta

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